汇款对经济增长的直接和间接影响显著吗?

B. Rao, Gazi Hassan
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引用次数: 92

摘要

发展经济学家认为,农民工的汇款是长期经济增长的重要资金来源。因此,最近的研究调查了汇款的增长效应,得出了不同的结论。在许多这样的研究中,产出的增长只是简单地回归到汇款和汇款影响增长的渠道上。因此,汇款的间接和直接增长影响之间没有区别,而且由于渠道与汇款之间的相关性,这种规格可能给出不可靠的估计。在本文中,我们对汇款的间接影响和直接影响进行了区分。我们的模型使用40个高汇款接收国的面板数据和系统GMM面板数据估计方法进行估计。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Are the Direct and Indirect Growth Effects of Remittances Significant?
Development economists believe that migrant workers’ remittances are an important source of funds for long run growth. Therefore, recent studies have investigated the growth effects of remittances and reached different conclusions. In many such studies the growth of output is simply regressed on both remittances and the channels through which remittances affect growth. Thus there is no distinction between the indirect and direct growth effects of remittances and such specifications may give unreliable estimates because of the correlation between the channels and remittances. In this paper we make a distinction between the indirect and direct effects of remittances. Our model is estimated with panel data of 40 high remittance recipient countries and a system GMM panel data estimation method.
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