当代全球化世界中的外国直接投资和外国证券投资:它们还应该分开对待吗?

Marcin Humanicki, R. Kelm, K. Olszewski
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引用次数: 17

摘要

长期以来,外国直接投资(FDI)和外国证券投资(FPI)一直被认为是不同的、独立的国际资本流动形式,但在全球化的世界中,有理由将它们视为相互关联的现象。本文分析了FDI与FPI之间的相互关系,并试图从外国投资者的角度回答它们是互补还是相互替代的问题。首先,本文描述了FDI和FPI在波动性和盈利能力之间的权衡方面的主要特征。其次,对这两类外国投资的决定因素进行了文献综述。最后,我们通过对波兰数据的VECM回归分析了FDI和FPI之间的长期和短期关系。我们的研究表明,这两种形式的外国投资是相互替代的。更具体地说,在经济稳定时期,外国直接投资往往比外国直接投资占主导地位,但在不安全和经济困境期间,无论是在来源国还是东道国,外国直接投资都开始变得重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Foreign Direct Investment and Foreign Portfolio Investment in the Contemporary Globalized World: Should They Be Still Treated Separately?
Foreign direct investment (FDI) and foreign portfolio investment (FPI) have been long considered as distinct and independent forms of international capital flows, but in the globalized world there are reasons to treat them as interconnected phenomena. This paper analyzes the mutual relationship between FDI and FPI and attempts to answer the question whether they complement or substitute for each other from a foreign investor’s point of view. Firstly, the paper describes the main characteristics of FDI and FPI in terms of a trade-off between their volatility and profitability. Secondly, it provides a literature review on the determinants of these two types of foreign investment. Finally, we analyse the long-run and short-run relationships between FDI and FPI running VECM regressions on data for Poland. Our research suggests that these two forms of foreign investment are substitutes. To be more specific, in economically stable periods FDI tends to dominate over FPI, but during insecurity and economic distress, both in source and host countries, FPI starts to gain importance.
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