基于三元区间数的固定比率方差多期投资组合模型

Liu Ximei, Wang Changfeng, Lv Yuan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在投资组合问题中,预期收益、风险等是无法精确预测的。投资者通常根据自己的经验作出投资组合决策。因此,确定性投资组合对投资者来说并不是一个好的选择。石油/天然气项目的投资组合选择是能源部门资本预算的基本主题。在最近的研究中,区间数被广泛用于不确定环境下问题的建模。本文将预测与决策相结合,利用三元区间数的概念,建立了具有固定比率的方差多周期投资组合优化模型。此外,我们还给出了该模型的三个弱最优解。最后,以中海油(中国海洋石油总公司)的一组项目数据对这些方法进行了验证。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Variance Multi-period Portfolio Model with Fixed Ratio Based on Ternary Interval Numbers
In portfolio problem, the expected return, risk etc. cannot be predicted precisely. The investor generally makes his portfolio decision according to his experience. So, deterministic portfolio selection is not a good choice for the investor. Portfolio selection of oil/ gas projects is a fundamental subject of capital budgeting in the energy sector. Interval number is widely used to model the problem in uncertain environments in most of the recent works. In this paper, we combine forecasting and decision-making, and utilize the concept of the ternary interval numbers to build a variance multi-period portfolio optimization model with fixed ratio. In addition, we also give three weak optimal solutions of the proposed model. Finally, these approaches are tested on a set of project data from CNOOC(China National Offshore Oil Corporation).
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