乌克兰有争议的转型:如何成为市场民主国家

Taras Kuzio
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摘要

Åslund的书是西方唯一一本试图记录乌克兰从一个极权主义帝国的苏维埃共和国到一个独立民主的市场经济国家的转变的书。这本书在调查方面是详尽的,但在对过渡过程进行的大部分积极分析方面也存在争议。正如我将展示的那样,这本书也充满了错误,这些错误削弱了它对政治科学的潜在贡献,但这些错误可以在未来的版本中克服。这本书最精彩的地方在于Åslund讨论了他作为乌克兰政府顾问所参与的领域。在20世纪90年代初,他描述了“经济政策的彻底混乱”和缺乏“合格的经济学家”;与此同时,“对令人震惊的经济学和国际互动的无知是最小的”(第30,44页)。在1991 - 1994年列奥尼德·克拉夫丘克(Leonid Kravchuk)担任总统期间,他的经济顾问亚历山大·叶米利亚诺夫(Oleksandr Yemelianov)缺乏对市场经济构成的理解,在Åslund看来,叶米利亚诺夫是“我见过的最教条主义的共产主义经济学家”(第30页)。在20世纪90年代,乌克兰成为一个“寡头经济”,内部私有化,国家干预以最大化租金,腐败的税收和国家补贴(第128页)。“这种自我强化的寻租模式接近于平衡,因此是稳定的”(第128页)
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Ukraine's Controversial Transition: How It Became a Market Democracy
Åslund’s book represents the only Western volume that seeks to chronicle the last two decades of Ukraine’s transition from a Soviet republic in a totalitarian empire with a command administrative economy to an independent democratic state with a market economy. The book is exhaustive in what it surveys but is nevertheless also controversial in the largely positive analysis it gives of the transition process. The volume is also, as I will show, replete with mistakes that devalue its potential contribution to political science, but these could be overcome in future editions. The book is most excellent when Åslund discusses areas that he was involved in as an adviser to Ukrainian governments. In the early 1990s he describes the ‘total confusion in economic policy’ and the lack of ‘qualified economists’; meanwhile, ‘The ignorance of economics as astounding and international interaction was minimal’ (pp.30, 44). The lack of understanding of what constituted a market economy during Leonid Kravchuk’s presidency during 1991–94 was seen in his economic adviser, Oleksandr Yemelianov, who was, in Åslund’s view, the ‘most dogmatic communist economist I have ever met’ (p.30). In the 1990s Ukraine became an ‘oligarchic economy’ with insider privatization, state intervention to maximize rents, and corrupt tax and state subsidies (p.128). ‘This model of self-reinforcing rent seeking was close to equilibrium and thus stable’ (p.128) until the late
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