猪饲料成本的未来

M. Langemeier
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引用次数: 0

摘要

最近玉米和大豆市场的波动增加了与猪饲料成本和利润率相关的不确定性。本文记录了玉米和豆粕价格对肥育企业和肥育企业饲料成本指标的影响,并对两家猪企业进行了预测。值得注意的是,生猪肥育企业承担着早期断奶猪的肥育工作。两家企业的口粮包括玉米、豆粕、干酒糟和补品。根据USDA-NASS的报告,玉米价格代表印第安纳州的平均价格。豆粕和酒糟的价格来自于美国农业部-农业部农业部每月出版的《饲料展望》。来自USDA-NASS月刊《农业价格》的信息被用来计算补充剂的价格。玉米和豆粕的未来价格用于预测到2017年的饲料指数。饲料成本指数报告在一个月,而不是一个安置月的基础上。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
What Lies Ahead for Swine Feed Costs
The recent volatility in the corn and soybean markets increases the uncertainty related to swine feed costs and margins. This article documents the impact of corn and soybean meal prices on feed cost indices for a farrow-to-finish enterprise and a hog finishing enterprise, and provides projections for both swine enterprises. It is important to note that the hog finishing enterprise assumes the finishing of an early-weaned pig. Rations for both enterprises consist of corn, soybean meal, dry distillers’ grain, and supplements. Corn prices represent averages for Indiana as reported by USDA-NASS. Soybean meal and distillers’ grain prices are obtained from Feed Outlook, published monthly by USDA-ERS. Information from Agricultural Prices, a monthly USDA-NASS publication, was used to compute supplement prices. Future prices for corn and soybean meal are used to project feed indices through 2017. Feed cost indices are reported on a closeout month rather than a placement month basis.
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