电力变压器技术条件排序模糊分类器的研制

E. I. Bardyk, N. Bolotnyi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的工作目的是在诊断信息不明确和模糊的情况下,开发一种电力变压器技术状态排序的模糊分类器。方法。基于模糊集理论和优化方法开发了电力变压器技术状态排序模糊分类器。在Takagi-Sugeno模糊推理系统的基础上,提出了一种基于分类器的电力变压器等级评定方法。对输入指标的选择进行了论证,并采用专家评价法对分类器的效率进行了评价。这使得关于电力变压器缺陷发展的专家评估形式化成为可能。结果。将电力变压器技术状态评估以知识库形式形式化,并在技术状态评估专家系统原型中实现。利用试验测量参数结果,在专家评价的基础上,确定了电力变压器各功能单元的复杂技术状态评定。创意。考虑了电力变压器技术状态不确定性的形式化方法,为进一步的维护策略建立了确定性决策方案,其中具体对象的排序和退役程序是在客观标准的基础上实施的。实用价值。所提出的模糊分类器可以根据试验和测量参数结果,以高概率程度确定电力变压器的技术状态评价。因此,利用所获得的科学成果,可以根据识别出的可能存在的缺陷及其发展程度,对电力变压器园区进行客观排序。这是确定电力变压器最近观察期故障概率评估和综合电力系统中电力变压器故障应急风险评估的前提条件。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Development of fuzzy classifier for technical condition ranking of power transformer
The work aim is to develop a fuzzy classifier for technical condition ranking of power transformer under condition of vagueness and ambiguity diagnostic information. Methodology. The fuzzy classifier developing for technical condition ranking of power transformer was based on approach of using fuzzy set theory and optimization methods. The proposed approach for power transformer rank assessment by using a classifier was developed on the basis of Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy inference system. The input indicators choice is justified and their efficiency for classifier is evaluated by expert evaluation method. This makes it possible to formalize expert assessments regarding the development of power transformer defects. Results. The formalization of technical condition assessment of power transformer in knowledge base form, which implemented in expert system prototype for technical condition assessment, was carried out. The complex technical condition assessment for each functional unit of power transformer was determined based on expert evaluations with using the test and measurement parameters results. Originality. The considered approach to formalization of uncertainty regarding technical condition of power transformer allows building a deterministic decision-making scheme for further maintenance strategy, in which the ranking and decommissioning procedures for specific objects are implemented on the basis of objective criteria. Practical value. The proposed fuzzy classifier allows determination with a high probability degree of technical condition assessment of power transformer based on the test and measurement parameters results. Thus, an applied aspect of using the obtained scientific result is the possibility to objectively rank of power transformers park based on the identified possible defects and their development degree. This constitutes the prerequisites for determining the failure probability evaluation of power transformer at nearest observation period and emergency risk assessment in integrated electric power systems under power transformer failures.
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