多线路保险公司定价:摩擦成本、资不抵债和资产配置

Li Zhang, Norma L. Nielson
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摘要

本文考察了有限责任和摩擦成本环境下基于或有索赔方法的多线保险定价。资本配置是基于违约期权的价值,这满足了一个现实的假设,即每条不同的线路承担由保险公司破产造成的赤字的比例份额。溢价水平、可用资产和违约风险相互作用,以公平溢价达到均衡。可用于支付负债的资产不是预先确定的或给定的;相反,溢价收益和投资收益共同影响可用资产。结果表明,股权配置不影响整体公平溢价。对于给定的预期损失,提供多条线路的公司的溢价与预期损失之比高于只提供一条线路的公司,这是由于多样化降低了风险。保费与预期损失率和权益与预期损失率在不同行业有所不同。赔付可能性较高或索赔金额未全额支付的险种,保费与预期损失率较低,权益与预期损失率较高。业务线之间的正相关性导致保费与预期损失率低于假设独立损失时的保费与预期损失率。投资回报与亏损之间的正相关关系降低了资不抵债风险,并导致更高的溢价与预期亏损比率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Pricing for Multiline Insurer: Frictional Costs, Insolvency, and Asset Allocation
This article examines multiline insurance pricing based on the contingent claim approach in a limited liability and frictional costs environment. Capital allocation is based on the value of the default option, which satisfies the realistic assumption that each distinct line undertakes a pro rata share of deficit caused by insurer insolvency. Premium levels, available assets, and default risk interact with each other and reach equilibrium at the fair premium. The assets available to pay for liabilities are not predetermined or given; instead, the premium income and investment income jointly influence the available assets. The results show that equity allocation does not influence the overall fair premium. For a given expected loss, the premium‐to‐expected‐loss ratio for firms offering multiple lines is higher than that for firms only offering a single line, due to the reduced risk achieved through diversification. Premium‐to‐expected‐loss ratio and equity‐to‐expected‐loss ratio vary across lines. Lines having a higher possibility or claim amount not being paid in full exhibit lower premium‐to‐expected‐loss ratio and higher equity‐to‐expected‐loss ratio. Positive correlation among lines of business results in lower premium‐to‐expected‐loss ratio than when independent losses are assumed. Positive correlation between investment return and losses reduces the insolvency risk and leads to a higher premium‐to‐expected‐loss ratio.
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