基于ARIMA模型的内蒙古自治区GDP预测研究

Proceedings of the 2021 3rd International Conference on Economic Management and Cultural Industry (ICEMCI 2021) Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI:10.2991/assehr.k.211209.430

Zihan Zhao

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文以内蒙古自治区1993 - 2020年GDP发展与预测为研究对象。通过建立ARIMA模型和时间序列预测，对未来5年的人口发展进行了分析，并对GDP指数进行了预测。结果表明，内蒙古自治区的GDP将会有一定程度的进一步增长，这些数据可以作为内蒙古自治区政府规划下一阶段经济发展的良好助手。并指导政府进一步规划和开发。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Research on GDP Forecast of the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region Based on ARIMA Model

This study focuses on the GDP development and forecast of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region from 1993 to 2020. ARIMA model and time series forecasting are built to analyze the population development and forecast the GDP index in the next five years. The results show that the GDP of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region will further increase to some extent, and these data can be regarded as a good assistant for the government of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region in planning the next stage of economic development. And guide the government to further planning and development.

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Proceedings of the 2021 3rd International Conference on Economic Management and Cultural Industry (ICEMCI 2021)

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