基于主体的货币自发产生模型研究

Mattia Di Russo, Z. Babutsidze, Célia Da Costa Pereira, M. Iacopetta, A. Tettamanzi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

经济学的一个核心问题是社会如何接受货币,货币被定义为一种用作交换媒介的商品,是个人互动的意外结果。这个问题已经在文献中进行了理论探讨,并通过基于智能体的建模进行了研究。虽然该理论的一个重要方面是个人的投机行为,即尽管有潜在的短期损失也会接受金钱,但之前的研究无法用有限理性的代理人再现这种行为。我们调查了以往的工作失败的原因,有界理性主体学习投机策略。从文献中提出的基于代理的模型开始,其中代理的智能由一个学习分类器系统引导,该系统被证明能够学习涉及短序列交易的交易策略(核心策略),我们测试了原始模型的几个修改,并提出了一组假设,这些假设使投机策略能够自发出现,这解释了即使代理具有有限理性也会出现金钱。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Agent-Based Modeling for Studying the Spontaneous Emergence of Money
A central question in economics is how a society accepts money, defined as a commodity used as a medium of exchange, as an unplanned outcome of the individual interactions. This question has been approached theoretically in the literature and investigated by means of agent-based modeling. While an important aspect of the theory is the individual’s speculative behavior, that is, the acceptance of money despite a potential short-term loss, previous work has been unable to reproduce it with boundedly rational agents. We investigate the reasons for the failure of previous work to have boundedly rational agents learn speculative strategies. Starting with an agent-based model proposed in the literature, where the intelligence of the agents is guided by a learning classifier system that is shown to be capable of learning trade strategies (core strategies) that involve short sequences of trades, we test several modifications of the original model and we come up with a set of assumptions that enable the spontaneous emergence of speculative strategies, which explain the emergence of money even when the agents have bounded rationality.
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