尼日利亚公共外债及其对汇率的影响

A. Marvelous, Iyakwari Baba, Mairana Audu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究试图对尼日利亚公共外债对汇率的影响进行实证研究。本研究的数据性质是二手数据,数据的主要来源是尼日利亚中央银行(CBN) 2018年12月每年发布的统计公报。本研究采用普通最小二乘(OLS)和误差修正模型(ECM)分析工具,考察了各经济变量之间的影响和关系。长期和短期结果证实,公共外债对尼日利亚的汇率有影响。然而,基于短期的概率值,除尼日利亚外汇储备(FRN)在5%的显著性水平上外,所有自变量在解释尼日利亚汇率变化方面都具有统计显著性。而从长远来看,尼日利亚的外债(EXDTN),尼日利亚的偿债支付(DSPN)和尼日利亚的外汇储备(FRN)尼日利亚的外汇储备(FRN)在解释尼日利亚汇率(EXCHR)的变化方面具有统计学意义,其显著性水平为5%。因此,本研究建议政府应增加对尼日利亚公共资金分配和执行的检查和控制机制,以减少尼日利亚的赤字预算和汇率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
PUBLIC EXTERNAL DEBT AND ITS IMPACT ON EXCHANGE RATE IN NIGERIA
The study is an attempt to empirically examine the impact of public external debt on exchange rate in Nigeria. The nature of data for this study is secondary data and the major source of data is the Statistical Bulletin published annually by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) December, 2018.The study used Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Error Correction Model (ECM) tools of analysis in the investigation of the impact and relationship among the economic variables. The long and short run results confirmed that public external debt has impact on exchange rate in Nigeria. However, based on the probability value at the short run all independent variables were statistically significant in explaining variation in Exchange Rate in Nigeria except Foreign Reserve in Nigeria (FRN) at 5 percent level of significance. While, at the long run the External Debt in Nigeria (EXDTN), Debt Service Payment in Nigeria (DSPN) and Foreign Reserve in Nigeria (FRN) Foreign Reserve in Nigeria (FRN) was statistically significant in explaining the variation in Exchange Rate in Nigeria (EXCHR) at 5 percent level of significance. Therefore, the study recommends that Government should increase the mechanism to check and control the allocation and implementation of public funds in Nigeria to reduce deficit budget and exchange rate in Nigeria.
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