印度各邦的趋同或分歧:一项新的系列数据研究

A. Krushna
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摘要

到目前为止,关于这一问题的理论和实证文献都非常丰富。所有的研究大多是在很长一段时间内观察这种趋同/发散性质。引用一些研究,如Trivedi (2002), Bandyopadhyay (2002), Michelle, Kirsty和Cassen (2005), Nayyar (2008), Kalra和Sodsriwiboon (2010), Ghosh (2012), Stewart和Moslares (2014), Mishra和Mishra(2017)以及Chakraborty和Chakraborty(2018),这些研究都被认为是长时间来估计印度各邦之间趋同/分歧的存在。但是,一个地区的长期发展取决于许多因素,如自然资源的可用性、人力资源、该地区采取的经济政策、政治气候等。因此,当我们处理趋同/分化问题时,我们必须考虑上述因素。从这个角度来看,本文侧重于短期观察趋同/分歧,特别是参考印度各州在2011-12至2016-17期间。高增长集团国家的PCNSDP趋于一致,而低增长集团国家和总量国家则表现出不同的趋势。在研究期间,高增长集团国家的趋同率为49.8%。低增长集团国家之间的差异率为14.5%。就所有国家而言,差异率为12.4%。与低增长集团国家相比,高增长集团国家的波动也较少。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Convergence or Divergence Among Indian States: A Study Of New Series Data
Till now there is a vast literature available on this subject both theoretically and empirically.  All the studies are mostly observing this convergence/divergence nature over a long period of time.  To quote some of the researches such as Trivedi (2002), Bandyopadhyay (2002), Michelle, Kirsty and Cassen (2005), Nayyar (2008), Kalra & Sodsriwiboon (2010), Ghosh (2012), Stewart and Moslares (2014), Mishra and Mishra (2017) and Chakraborty and Chakraborty (2018) all are considered long period of time to estimate the presence of convergence/divergence among Indian states. But the long term development of a region depends upon so many factors such as availability of natural resources, human resources, economic policies adopted in the region, political climate etc.  Hence, when we are dealing with the issue of convergence/divergence we have to consider the above-said factors.  From this point of view, this paper focuses on the short term observing of convergence/divergence particularly with reference to Indian states during the period 2011-12 to 2016-17.  High Growth Group States witnessed convergence in PCNSDP while Low Growth Group States and the Total States exhibited divergent trends. The high Growth Group States converged at a rate of 49.8 per cent during the study period.  The rate of divergence among the Low Growth Group States is 14.5 per cent.  Regarding the Total States, the rate of divergence is observed as 12.4 per cent.  Here also the high growth group states are accounted for fewer fluctuations when compared with low growth group states.
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