利用不同时间序列技术预测短期太阳辐照度和辐照度:初步研究

3rd International Symposium on Environmental Friendly Energies and Applications (EFEA) Pub Date : 2014-09-25 DOI:10.1109/EFEA.2014.7059971

C. Join, C. Voyant, M. Fliess, M. Muselli, M. Nivet, C. Paoli, F. Chaxel

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引用次数: 10

摘要

本通讯专门讨论对电力生产有用的太阳辐照度和辐照度短期预报。采用了几种不同的时间序列方法。我们的结果和相应的数值模拟表明，不需要大量历史数据的技术比需要大量历史数据的技术表现得更好，特别是当这些数据有很大的噪声时。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Short-term solar irradiance and irradiation forecasts via different time series techniques: A preliminary study

This communication is devoted to solar irradiance and irradiation short-term forecasts, which are useful for electricity production. Several different time series approaches are employed. Our results and the corresponding numerical simulations show that techniques which do not need a large amount of historical data behave better than those which need them, especially when those data are quite noisy.

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3rd International Symposium on Environmental Friendly Energies and Applications (EFEA)

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