基于FRAM模型的机场运行系统安全弹性评估半定量方法

Jiuxia Guo, Hongyi Li, Changqi Yang
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引用次数: 1

摘要

随着民航事业的发展,机场系统逐渐发展成为一个高度复杂、智能化的社会技术系统。为了提高机场系统抵御突发事件的能力,提出了一种基于弹性理论的机场运行系统安全弹性管理框架模型,该模型包括事故/事件发生前-中-后阶段。此外,本文以廊桥不安全事件为研究对象,主要构建了基于FRAM模型的机场运行系统安全弹性损失评估方法。利用该方法对机场运行系统的安全弹性损失水平进行评估,并通过FRAM模型各单元之间的耦合分析,得到FRAM阻尼模型。对机场安全弹性损失的评估验证了该模型的可行性,为解决当前机场安全研究中的多因素耦合影响问题提供了一种新的方法。该方法有助于管理者对机场系统各子系统的应急响应能力进行评估,有助于提升机场系统的安全弹性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Semi-Quantitative Method of Safety Resilience Assessment for Airport Operation System based on FRAM Model
With the development of civil aviation, the airport system has gradually developed into a highly complex and intelligent soci-technology system. In order to enhance the ability of the airport system to resist emergencies, a safety resilience management framework model for airport operation system based on resilience theory is proposed, which includes pre-during-post stage of accident/incident events. Additionally, this paper mainly constructs a method of the safety resilience loss assessment for airport operation system based on FRAM model with unsafety event of the corridor bridge as a study. The method is used to assess the level of the safety resilience loss of the airport operation system and through the coupling analysis between the elements of the FRAM model the FRAM damping model is obtained. This assessment of airport safety resilience loss verifies the feasibility of this model and provides a new method for solving the multi-factor coupling influence problem of current airport safety research. This method helps managers evaluate the emergency response capabilities of each subsystem in the airport system and contributes to the promotion of safety resilience of airport systems.
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