中国房地产市场调控困境分析——基于房地产市场参与方混合博弈模型

Yekai Li, Xin-mei Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

中国房地产市场主体众多,利益各异,关系复杂。房地产市场调控既要考虑当事人的主体利益,又要考虑整个经济发展趋势,因此调控难免会遇到困境。本文通过将中央政府、地方政府、房地产开发商、银行和评估机构纳入分析框架,构建五方博弈模型,探索兼顾不同利益群体的均衡解决方案。结果表明,房价的波动与利率、保障性住房的建设、评估机构的活动等因素有关,因此,调控房价对整个经济的影响很大。最后,对当前的监管困境进行解读,并为政府提供政策建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis on the dilemma of regulating China's real estate market — Based on the mixed game model of five parties involving in the real estate market
China's real estate market involves many main parties, different interests, and complicated relationship. The regulations on real estate market should not only consider the main interests of the parties involving, but also consider the economic trend as whole, so it's evitable that the regulation encountered the dilemma. In this article, by including the central government, local government, real estate developer, bank, and assessment agencies in the analysis framework and building the five parties game model, we explore a balanced solution through taking the different interest groups into the consideration. The result shows that fluctuation in the house price relates to factors like interest rate, construction of affordable housing, and the activity of assessment agencies, etc., therefore, regulating the housing price have great impact on the economy as whole. Finally, we interpret the current regulation dilemma and provide policy recommendation for the government.
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