不确定和风险情况下的扩展TODIM方法

Y. Cheng, Jiugen Zhang, Wei-xiang Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的目的是通过提出一种扩展的TODIM方法来解决不确定和风险情况下的MADM问题。在充分考虑决策者对“风险”的态度后,我们引入了一种新的IT2FS测度来描述不确定性信息。考虑到t2fs计算的复杂性,可以使用区间2型模糊集来处理模糊和不确定性。此外,我们还通过两个案例说明了基于TrIT2FS的扩展TODIM方法的实现。通过与其他方法的对比分析,验证了该方法的有效性和可行性。多属性决策(Multi-Attribute Decision Making, MADM)[1]是多属性决策问题的一部分,主要研究离散决策空间问题。典型的MADM问题是根据一组决策标准对有限数量的预定备选方案进行评价。关于MADM的相关文献[2]非常广泛,其理论和方法被广泛应用于工程、技术、经济、管理、军事等诸多领域[3-5]。然而,现有的方法大多基于理性的期望实用模型,但一些行为实验研究[6,7]表明,决策者在决策过程中是有限理性的。因此,如何在考虑决策者心理行为的情况下解决MADM问题一直是一个值得研究的问题。TODIM是解决MADM问题的一种有价值的手段,最早由Gomes和Lima提出[8-13]。它可以有效地应用于有风险的情况下。该方法已在多个领域得到应用,并被经验证明是有效可行的。然而,建立数学模型的另一个困难是如何用数学的形式表达DM的思想和信念。在现实中,随着社会复杂性的不断增加,人们遇到的问题也越来越模糊。用精确的数字来解决决策问题不再是一个好的解决方案。为了解决这个问题,Zadeh提出了t2fs (type-2 fuzzy set的缩写),其中的隶属函数本身是模糊的。它采用主要和次要的成员资格,为我们提供了额外的自由度和更大的灵活性。本文提出了一种基于T2FS的TODIM方法,并引入了一种新的基于两个区间数之间有符号距离的距离度量方法。在本文的最后,我们将该方法应用于一个多准则投资选择问题,以验证该方法的实际应用效果。考虑风险偏好的IT2FS测度模糊理论为不确定信息的表示和组织提供了理论依据和技术支持。[定义1]一个2型模糊集,记为 A,其特征为一个2型隶属度函数: A,A x:,A x0,1 I,其中x U,0,1 A x J,即。高等教育,管理与人文国际会议(AEMH 2019)版权所有©2019,作者。亚特兰蒂斯出版社出版。这是一篇基于CC BY-NC许可(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/)的开放获取文章。社会科学、教育和人文研究进展,第352卷
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Extended TODIM Method Under Uncertain and Risky Situations
The purpose of this paper is to solve the MADM problem under uncertain and risky situations by proposing an extended TODIM method. After considering about the attitude of decision makers on "risk" sufficiently, we introduce a new measure for IT2FS to describe the uncertain information. Taking into account the complexity of computation using T2FSs, the interval type-2 fuzzy sets can be used to dispose of the vagueness and uncertainty. Moreover, we illustrate the implementation of proposed extended TODIM method based on TrIT2FS by two case studies. The availability and the feasibility of the presented method are validated through a comparative analysis with other methods. Introduction Multi-Attribute Decision Making (MADM)[1] is a part of MCDM problem which is mainly focused on the problem of discrete decision space. The typical MADM problem is concerned with the evaluation of a limited number of predetermined alternatives according as a group of decision criteria. The relevant literature [2] about MADM is very extensive, also its theories and methods are widely applied to many fields such as engineering, technology, economics, management, military, and so on [3-5]. Nevertheless, most existing methods are based on expected utility model of rationality, but some researches about behavioural experiments [6, 7] have illustrated that the decision maker is bounded rational in the decision-making process. Therefore, how to solve the MADM problem when considering decision-maker’s psychological behaviour is always an issue deserving of study. TODIM, a valuable means to resolve the MADM problem, was early introduced by Gomes and Lima [8-13]. It can be effectively applied under the circumstance of risk. This method has been applied in many fields and is empirically validated to be efficient and feasible. However, another difficulty in setting up mathematical models is how to express the DM’s ideas and beliefs in a mathematical form. In reality, as the complexity of society continues to increase, the problems that people met are getting blurred. It is no longer a good solution to solve the decision problem with the exact number. To address this issue, Zadeh proposed T2FSs (the abbreviation for type-2 fuzzy sets) in which the membership function are fuzzy themselves. It uses both primary and secondary membership to provide us with additional degrees of freedom and greater flexibility particularly. This paper will present an TODIM method based on T2FS and introduce a new distance measure based on the signed distance between two interval numbers. At the end of this paper, we will apply this proposed method to a multi-criteria investment selection problem to verify the practical application effect of it. The Measure of IT2FS Considering Risk Preferences The Fuzzy theory provides theoretical basis and technical support for uncertain information representation and organization. [Definition 1] A type-2 fuzzy set, denoted A , is characterized by a type-2 membership function A    , A x  :   , A x     0,1 I  , where x U  ,   0,1 A x J    ,i.e., International Conference on Advanced Education, Management and Humanities (AEMH 2019) Copyright © 2019, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/). Advances in Social Science, Education and Humanities Research, volume 352
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