Covid-19流行;经济衰退、虚拟革命导致去全球化?

Ł. Sułkowski
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引用次数: 96

摘要

摘要目的:本文试图诊断新冠肺炎疫情对全球趋势的影响,包括企业的组织流程,以及组织领导者在许多方面面临的挑战。本文讨论了经济衰退阶段、去全球化以及经济和整个社会虚拟化的增加等问题。方法论:研究方法是对文献的回顾,不是很广泛,关于这个主题。关于Covid-19大流行的社会和文化后果的研究缺乏,与此同时,我们正在经历媒体信息的洪流。作者意识到,影响评估受制于不确定性,它必须是多维的。研究结果:对文献以及金融机构报告的回顾表明,个别国家的经济正在进入停滞和衰退阶段。这可能会导致全球经济衰退。正文指出了受这些变化影响最大的行业和企业类型。本文证明,政府对卫生保健职能的态度可能发生变化,国家和国际金融机构的作用也可能发生变化。通信的虚拟化似乎是一个重要的变化。大流行是否会影响全球化或去全球化的问题很难回答,国家一级的政府决定是重要的,但它们借鉴了国际经验。附加值:这篇文章就疫情对经济运行和全球化的影响发出了重要声音。建议:有人提出一个问题,要求进一步分析:加强中央政府是否意味着去全球化趋势。看来疫情结束后,社会经济生活的虚拟化还会继续,这一点还需要确认。疫情对世界的影响应成为今后许多研究的主题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Covid-19 Pandemic; Recession, Virtual Revolution Leading to De-globalization?
Abstract Objective: The article is an attempt to make a diagnosis about the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on global trends, including organizational processes in enterprises, and challenges for organization leaders in many areas. Issues such as recession phase in which the economy will find itself, de-globalization and the increase in virtualization of both the economy and entire societies are discussed in the article. Methodology: The research method is a review of the literature, not very extensive, on the subject. There is a lack of research on social and cultural consequences of Covid-19 pandemics, and at the same time we are experiencing a flood of media information. The author is aware that impact assessment is subject to uncertainty and that it must be multidimensional. Findings: The review of the literature, as well as reports from financial institutions, show that the economies of individual countries are entering a phase of stagnation and recession. This will probably lead to a global recession. The text indicates the sectors and types of enterprises that will be most affected by the changes. The article proves that governments’ attitude to health care functions may change, as well as the role of states and international financial institutions. Virtualization of communication seems to be an important change. It is difficult to answer the question whether a pandemic will affect globalization or de-globalization, government decisions at national level are significant, but they draw from international experience. Value Added: The article becomes an important voice on the impact of a pandemic on the functioning of the economy and globalization. Recommendations: A question was posed demanding further analyses: whether strengthening the central government would mean de-globalization tendencies. It seems that the virtualization of social and economic life will continue after the pandemic expires, which needs to be confirmed. The impact of the pandemic on the world should be the subject of many research studies in the future.
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