考虑航行状况和环境因素影响的内河船舶燃油消耗预测模型

Zhi Yuan, Jingxian Liu, Yi Liu, B. Tu, Yue Li, Yulu Liu, Zongzhi Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

生态优先、绿色发展的战略使得内河船舶的燃油消耗受到了前所未有的关注。内河船舶燃油消耗预测可以为航行规划和能源监管提供决策支持。本文以长江干线上航行的船舶为研究对象,首先采用多源传感器采集导航数据;然后,考虑状态监测数据和环境因素的综合影响,定制改进的人工神经网络(ANN),构建基于实时监测数据和环境数据的油耗预测模型。最后,通过大量的实测数据对所构建的预测模型进行分析和验证,并与传统的回归模型进行比较,证明了所构建的预测模型的油耗预测性能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Prediction Model of Inland Ship Fuel Consumption Considering Influence of Navigation Status and Environmental Factors
The strategy of ecological priority and green development made the fuel consumption of inland ships have received unprecedented attention. Fuel consumption prediction of inland ships can provide decision support for navigation planning and energy supervision. This paper takes the ships sailing on the Yangtze River trunk line as the research object, first of all, the navigation data is collected by the multi-source sensor. And then, consider the comprehensive influence of status monitoring data and environmental factors, the improved artificial neural network (ANN) is tailored to build the fuel consumption prediction model based on real-time monitoring data and environmental data. Finally, the constructed prediction model is analyzed and verified by a large amount of measurement data, and its performance of fuel consumption prediction is proved by comparing it with the traditional regression models.
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