跨系统极端天气事件的综合观测影响

D. Stone
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引用次数: 2

摘要

富人和穷人。在本章中,我们将把这种评估称为综合评估。本章讨论了各种综合评估的可能性和挑战,这些综合评估可能为UNFCCC提供信息。它考虑了现有的全球综合努力,而不是在本书其他章节的基础上发展新的分析。它包括讨论进行这种评估的动机,执行与极端有关的合成的挑战,以及组装合成的可能方法。重点是对过去半个世纪的影响的检测和归因,但也讨论了对预测和最终记录未来风险变化的影响。对过去与极端天气有关的影响的唯一综合评估进行了审查,并指出只有通过监测和了解过程等若干领域的进一步发展才能克服其缺点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Synthesizing Observed Impacts of Extreme Weather Events Across Systems
wealthy and poor populations. In this chapter we will refer to such an assessment as a synthesis. This chapter is concerned with possibilities and challenges of syntheses that might inform the UNFCCC ABSTRACT This chapter discusses synthesis assessments of the impacts of extreme weather across multiple types of impacts. It considers existing global synthesis efforts rather than developing a new analysis based on other chapters in this book. It includes discussion of the motivation for such assessments, challenges in performing syntheses related to extremes, and possible methods for assembling a synthesis. The focus is on the detection and attribution of impacts during the past half-century, but implications for predicting and, ultimately, documenting future changes in risk are also discussed. The only synthesis assessment of past impacts related to extreme weather is reviewed, noting that its shortcomings can be overcome only through further developments in a number of areas, including monitoring and process understanding.
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