电力远期价格的风险溢价——来自ISO新英格兰市场的数据

J. Parsons, G. de Roo
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引用次数: 5

摘要

我们记录了ISO新英格兰批发电力市场的远期溢价,通过小时前和实时价格之间的差异来衡量。继Longstaff和Wang(2004)之后,我们展示了这些溢价如何与实时价格分布的方差和偏度相关,以及溢价如何有条件地变化以反映实时价格的不同不确定性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risk premiums in electricity forward prices — data from the ISO New England Market
We document the forward premiums in the ISO New England wholesale electricity market, measured by the difference between the hourly day-ahead and real-time prices. Following Longstaff and Wang (2004), we show how these premiums are related to the variance and skewness of the real-time price distribution and how the premiums vary conditionally to reflect the varying uncertainty in the real-time price.
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