利用回归技术建立Covid-19爆发模型

A. Bansal, Utkarsh Jayant
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自2019冠状病毒病大流行爆发以来,官员们和其他一些人一直在努力做出明智的决定,并采取相关措施来遏制疫情。大多数当局使用标准统计模型和流行病学模型来确定疫情。尽管这些模型在过去显示出准确性,但在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,它们似乎非常无效,主要是因为疫情的复杂性。由于缺乏对疫情的研究,我们必须确定可能与传播相关的属性,以便我们改进预测。因此,在本文中,作者试图找到最有助于爆发建模的属性,并将这些属性应用于传统回归模型,以研究它们对预测的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Covid-19 Outbreak Modelling Using Regression Techniques
Since the onset of COVID-19 pandemic, officials and several others have been making an effort to form informed decisions and take relevant measures to curb the outbreak. Mostly authorities have used standard statistical models, and epidemiological models to determine the outbreak. Although these models have shown to have accuracy in the past, they seem to be highly ineffective during the COVID-19 pandemic, mostly because of the complexities in it's outbreak. With the lack of studies done on the outbreak, it's imperative for us to determine the attributes which could show correlation with the spread for us to improve upon our predictions. Therefore in this paper the authors have tried to find the attributes which best help in the outbreak modelling and have applied those attributes to the traditional regression models to study their effects on the predictions.
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