全球金融危机下中国净出口的分岔与混沌分析

H. Qin, Songcheng Sheng
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引用次数: 1

摘要

全球金融危机给世界贸易的正常发展带来了不利影响,以美国为首的新贸易保护主义盛行,中国的出口贸易受到严重影响。本文运用非线性动力学方法对中国净出口贸易问题进行了研究。本文通过构建中国净出口贸易系统的非线性动力学模型,分析了系统的稳定性,特别是模型的分岔和混沌分析。本文对中国净出口系统的跨临界分岔和混沌预测进行了研究,并就中国如何走出当前出口需求和贸易疲软的困境提出了相关政策建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Bifurcation and Chaos Analysis of Chinese Net Export under the Global Financial Crisis
The global financial crisis has brought the adverse impact for the normal development of the world trade, and new trade protectionism led by the United States is prevalent, the export trade of China has been seriously affected. The paper has made the research of the issue of Chinese net export trade with the application of the non-linear dynamics. By constructing the non-linear dynamics model of the system of Chinese net export trade, the paper has analyzed the stability of the system, especially the bifurcation and chaos analysis of the model. The paper has researched the trans-critical bifurcation and the prediction of chaos of the system of Chinese net export, and proposed the related policy and the suggestion on how China could go out of the plight of the weak export demand and trade currently.
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