航天继电器贮存加速退化试验合闸时间预测新方法

Zhao-Bin Wang, Sai Fu, Shang Shang, Wenhua Chen
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引用次数: 6

摘要

空间继电器在存储过程中受到许多非线性因素的影响,对时间序列进行预测是为了实现非线性映射。结合人工神经网络和灰色系统理论,建立了灰色人工神经网络(GANN)模型。该模型有效地结合了人工神经网络非线性自适应的特点和灰色理论弱化数据序列波动性集成的特点。利用各种灰色模型和甘神经网络模型预测了继电器加速存储试验中测量数据关闭时间的退化值。通过对几种预测方法的比较,结果表明所提出的灰色神经网络模型比单一的灰色模型具有更高的预测精度。该方法也为继电器存储加速度试验的寿命预测提供了新的思路和方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
New forecasting method of closing time for aerospace relay in storage accelerated degradation testing
Space relays are affected by many nonlinear elements during storage, and the reason for predicting time series is to achieve nonlinear mapping. Combining artificial neural networks and grey system theory, we built a grey artificial neural network (GANN) model. The model effectively combined the characteristics of artificial-neural-network nonlinear adaptability and the characteristics of grey theory weakening data sequence volatility integration. We predicted the degradation value of the closing time of measured data in a relay accelerated storage test by using a variety of grey models and GANN models. By comparing several forecasting methods, the results showed the proposed grey neural network model has higher precision and is more accurate than a single grey model. The method also provides new ideas and methods for the life prediction of relay storage acceleration tests.
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