国际石油期货市场的典型启发式心理与过度反应

Shuping Wang, Xiong Kuang, Z. Wu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

代表性的启发式心理是金融市场中存在的一种不合理心理。本文提出了一种新颖的研究思路:利用对应关系和灰色关联度来检验国际石油期货市场的这种心理,并对欧佩克会议和战争等事件进行了实证检验。同时,我们也通过事件研究的方式来验证与代表性启发式心理学密切相关的过度反应行为。结果表明,石油期货市场不存在明显的代表性启发式心理,但存在过度反应行为。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Representative heuristic psychology and overreaction in international petroleum futures market
The representative heuristic psychology is one of the unreasonable psychologies existing in the financial market. A novel research idea is given in this paper: using the corresponding relation and grey interconnect degree to check this psychology in the international petroleum futures market, and give an empirical test for some events such as OPEC meetings and the war. At the same time, we also verify the overreaction behavior, which is tightly connected with the representative heuristic psychology, by the way of events study. The results show that there is no obvious representative heuristic psychology in the petroleum futures market, but existing overreaction behavior.
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