汇款陷阱:摩尔多瓦共和国与其他前社会主义国家的比较方法

Elina Benea-Popuşoi, Polina Arivonici
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们分析的目的是找出并详细说明为什么一些国家不能从移民的汇款流入中受益,甚至陷入移民带来的陷阱。在作者看来,汇款陷阱可以被评价为,特别是从长期来看,当高价值的移民汇款流入导致高价值的人力和金融资本外流,以及该国人民和政府的道德风险问题时,一个国家发现自己陷入了困境。因此,汇款陷阱对经济的可持续增长和发展产生负面影响,最终加深了该国对汇款的依赖,证明了汇款陷阱的恶性性质。此外,本文着重于为依赖汇款的国家确定一套有效的政策建议。我们的研究得出的一个自然结论是,汇款的优势和劣势之间存在一条细微的界限,因为事实上,短期利益往往会变成长期的副作用,这主要是由于汇款流入管理不善造成的,这与不利的商业环境和人口投资意愿下降有关。因此,汇款流入的好处和不利的副作用是相互依存的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Remittance trap: comparative approach of the Republic of Moldova and other ex-socialist countries
The objective of our analysis has been to find out and elaborate on why some countries could not benefit from remittance inflows sent by migrants or even are getting into traps due to them. In the authors’ view, the remittance trap may be appraised, notably in the long run, as the dilemma in which a country finds itself when the high value of migrant remittance inflows leads to a high value of human and financial capital outflows, as well as to the moral hazard problem of the country's population and government. Accordingly, remittance trap negatively affects the sustainable growth and development of the economy which eventually deepens the country's dependence on remittances, proving the vicious nature of the trap. Furthermore, the paper focuses on identifying a competent set of policy recommendations for the countries that are remittance dependent. A natural conclusion of our research is that there is a thin line between remittances’ advantages and disadvantages, since in fact, short-term benefits very often turn out into long-run side effects, mainly as a result of mismanagement of remittance inflows, which correlates with unfavourable business climate and decreased willingness of the population to invest. Accordingly, the benefits and adverse side effects of remittance inflows are interdependent.
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