电力负荷预测

Ujjwal Singh, Aditya Negi, Vaibhav Garg, Rohan Pillai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着全球电力需求的不断增长,负荷预测技术在预测电力需求方面变得非常重要,它也有助于政策制定者。我们项目的目的是进行短期负荷预测,即提前一周。家庭业主可以估计即将到来的负荷和电力分配组织将知道需求,并可以为此做好准备。我们的尝试是产生有用的见解和尽可能准确的预测。我们正在使用不同的技术,从朴素贝叶斯,经典线性方法(如ARIMA)和一些机器学习算法(如线性回归,Ridge, Lasso, HuberRegressor, ElasticNet, Lars, LassoLars, passiveaggressive veregressor, RANSAC Regressor, SGD Regressor)开始进行预测。我们也在使用深度学习算法,比如CNN, LSTM,并结合CNN-LSTM来获得更准确的预测。最后,我们将比较我们使用过的所有模型的所有预测,并确定哪个模型做出了最好的预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Electrical Load Forecasting
Since the electricity demand is increasing globally, load forecasting techniques have become immensely important in forecasting the electricity demands and it also helps the policy makers. The aim of our project is to perform short-term load forecasting, i.e. up to a week ahead. Household owners can estimate the upcoming load and power distribution organization would know the demand and could be prepared henceforth. Our attempt is to generate useful insights and forecast as accurately as possible. We are using different techniques starting from Naive Bayes, Classical Linear Methods (like ARIMA), and some Machine Learning Algorithms (like LinearRegression, Ridge, Lasso, HuberRegressor, ElasticNet, Lars, LassoLars, PassiveAggressiveRegressor, RANSAC Regressor, SGD Regressor) to make predictions. And we are also using Deep Learning algorithms like CNN, LSTM and combining CNN-LSTM to get more accurate predictions. In the end we will compare all the predictions from all the models that we have used and determine which model makes the best prediction.
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