有机器人的真实商业周期模式:保加利亚的经验

Aleksandar Vasilev
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引用次数: 0

摘要

机器人被引入到一个真实的商业周期设置中,并辅以详细的政府部门。机器人被认为是劳动力服务的不完美替代品。该模型是根据引入货币发行局安排(1999-2020)之后的保加利亚数据进行校准的。对保加利亚经济周期波动中机器人存在的数量重要性进行了调查。在机器人出现的情况下,工资会增加,但在技术冲击之后,就业率会下降。然而,对于合理的参数值,预计影响是相当小的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Real-Business-Cycle model with robots: Lessons for Bulgaria
Robots are introduced into a real-business-cycle setup augmented with a detailed government sector. Robots are modeled as an imperfect substitute for labor services. The model is calibrated to Bulgarian data for the period following the intro- duction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2020). The quantitative importance of the presence of robots in the economy is investigated for business cycle fluctuations in Bulgaria. In the presence of robots, wages increase, but employment falls after a technology shock. However, for plausible parameter values, the effect is predicted to be quite small.
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