促进和阻碍格鲁吉亚经济加速增长的因素和科学界的意见(选择性研究的结果)

Alim Kherkhadze
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In an ever-changing global world, new opportunities suddenly appear, and we must be ready to respond faster than others to the new demands of the economy and establish a place in the global supply chain. In our opinion, in order to overcome poverty, attention should be shifted to two main factors: investing a growing part of public funds in education adapted to the requirements of the modern world, and secondly, focusing on the production of products with high added value. The more the raw material goes through the recycling cycle, the more value is added to it and the richer society becomes. Qualified, high-quality education, together with appropriate supporting programs, restores and creates new sectors of the economy, which will be a determining factor in the economic development of Georgia. In order to identify contradictions and opportunities, in the research process, we set the following tasks: • Identification and analysis of factors promoting and hindering the dynamic development of the Georgian economy; • Systematic presentation of conditions and factors ensuring rapid economic development of Georgia and development of appropriate recommendations. In order to achieve the set goal, which included identifying factors promoting and hindering the rapid economic development of Georgia and determining the corresponding effects, from January 9 to January 16, 2023, four higher educational institutions of Georgia (Kutaisi University, Akaki Tsereteli State University, Caucasus University and Ivane Javakhishvili Tbilisi State University) We conducted an online survey among academic staff of the economic profile via corporate e-mail. We believe that in the process of searching and researching the factors of the rapid development of the economy of Georgia, it is important to have the assessments, expert knowledge and opinions of those who are most aware of the situation in the country's national economy and who, through their publications and appeals, regularly provide relevant opinions and recommendations to the central or local authorities. 60 professors and teachers answered the questionnaire, where 11-11 factors promoting and hindering the accelerated growth of the Georgian economy and one question were given. When filling out the questionnaire, the respondents should mark only 3-3 factors that are most important to them, and give one answer to the question. Factors facilitating to the accelerated economic growth of Georgia: • A reform-oriented government providing sustainable and dynamic development of the economy – 41,7% • Geopolitical location of Georgia – 38,3% • The recognition of the European perspective of Georgia by the European Union and the real perspective of Georgia joining the European Union – 36,7% • Free trade agreements with the world's largest markets (EU, China, etc.) – 33,3% • Liberal market economy (low level of corruption, little bureaucracy and procedural simplicity, little tax burden) – 31,7% • Georgia's rich and diverse nature, history, culture and gastronomy – 26,7% • Skilled and relatively cheap labor force – 23,3% • State programs for the development of entrepreneurship: \"Make in Georgia\", GITA grants, \"Introduce the future\", etc. – 18,3% • Rich natural resources – 16,7% • A well-developed banking system – 11,7% • Increasing harmonization of Georgian legislation with international legislation – 8,3% Factors Hindering to the accelerated economic growth of Georgia: • Underdeveloped democracy, constant question marks to the judicial system, political instability, little experience of statehood, state institutions not free from unhealthy political influence – 55% • Regional economic inequality, disproportionate distribution of investments and public funds to Tbilisi and the rest of Georgia – 41,7% • Low level of higher and professional education, insufficient qualified workforce – 41,7% • Lack of capital needed to implement innovative entrepreneurial ideas, low level of development of the real (production) sector of the economy and high deficit in foreign trade – 41,7% • Russia's occupation of Georgian territories, the threat of potential war and the unstable South Caucasus region. – 38,3% • High level of emigration – 20% • Underdeveloped stock market and non-convertible national currency – 18,3% • Monocentric state, high dependence of territorial-administrative units on state budget transfers – 10% • Mass destruction and hyperinflation of the economic powers inherited from the Soviet Union in the first years of independence – 6,7% • Inadequately developed transport logistics infrastructure (delayed Anaklia port project, poorly developed road infrastructure, single-lane railway lines) – 6,7% • Scarcity of natural resources and high import dependence on energy resources – 5% In response to the third question, which was about the time Georgia will need to reach the average European level of economic development in 2022, taking into account the listed factors. According to the received answers, this figure was about 15 years. Among them, 25 percent of the respondents named less than 10 years, and 10 percent - more than 25 years. For the accelerated economic growth of Georgia, there are many contributing factors as well as hindering factors. Despite the fact that we cannot solve some of the factors hindering economic growth by our own efforts, on the contrary, with the effective and coordinated use of the contributing factors, it is possible to minimize the risks and the rapid economic growth of the country. 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The more the raw material goes through the recycling cycle, the more value is added to it and the richer society becomes. Qualified, high-quality education, together with appropriate supporting programs, restores and creates new sectors of the economy, which will be a determining factor in the economic development of Georgia. In order to identify contradictions and opportunities, in the research process, we set the following tasks: • Identification and analysis of factors promoting and hindering the dynamic development of the Georgian economy; • Systematic presentation of conditions and factors ensuring rapid economic development of Georgia and development of appropriate recommendations. In order to achieve the set goal, which included identifying factors promoting and hindering the rapid economic development of Georgia and determining the corresponding effects, from January 9 to January 16, 2023, four higher educational institutions of Georgia (Kutaisi University, Akaki Tsereteli State University, Caucasus University and Ivane Javakhishvili Tbilisi State University) We conducted an online survey among academic staff of the economic profile via corporate e-mail. We believe that in the process of searching and researching the factors of the rapid development of the economy of Georgia, it is important to have the assessments, expert knowledge and opinions of those who are most aware of the situation in the country's national economy and who, through their publications and appeals, regularly provide relevant opinions and recommendations to the central or local authorities. 60 professors and teachers answered the questionnaire, where 11-11 factors promoting and hindering the accelerated growth of the Georgian economy and one question were given. When filling out the questionnaire, the respondents should mark only 3-3 factors that are most important to them, and give one answer to the question. 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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了在全球经济中站稳脚跟,格鲁吉亚必须确保高经济发展速度,从一个依赖进口的国家转变为全球供应链中最重要的参与者。我们的目标是找到一个问题的答案,这个问题在独立后的时期已经从修辞转变为存在:“我们能做点什么吗?”我国的高速公路贯穿可持续和充满活力的发展,减少对进口的依赖,实现积极的贸易和国际收支平衡,增加利用当地资源的规模和效率,吸引、培训和使用经过适当培训的具有创业经验和技能的人员。在一个不断变化的全球世界中,新的机会突然出现,我们必须准备好比其他人更快地响应经济的新需求,并在全球供应链中占据一席之地。我们认为,为了克服贫困,应该把注意力转移到两个主要因素上:一是把越来越多的公共资金投入到适应现代世界要求的教育上;二是把重点放在高附加值产品的生产上。原料经过循环利用的次数越多,增加的价值就越多,社会就会变得更加富裕。合格的、高质量的教育,加上适当的支持计划,将恢复和创造新的经济部门,这将是格鲁吉亚经济发展的决定性因素。为了识别矛盾和机遇,在研究过程中,我们确定了以下任务:•识别和分析促进和阻碍格鲁吉亚经济动态发展的因素;•系统地介绍确保格鲁吉亚经济快速发展的条件和因素,并提出适当的建议。为了实现既定目标,包括确定促进和阻碍格鲁吉亚经济快速发展的因素并确定相应的影响,2023年1月9日至16日,格鲁吉亚四所高等教育机构(库塔伊西大学、策列铁里国立大学、高加索大学和伊万·贾瓦什维利第比利斯国立大学)通过公司电子邮件对经济资料的学术人员进行了在线调查。我们认为,在寻找和研究格鲁吉亚经济快速发展的因素的过程中,重要的是要获得那些最了解该国国民经济状况的人的评估、专家知识和意见,他们通过出版物和呼吁,定期向中央或地方当局提供相关意见和建议。60名教授和教师回答了调查表,其中提出了促进和阻碍格鲁吉亚经济加速增长的11-11个因素和一个问题。在填写问卷时,被调查者只需要标记3-3个对他们来说最重要的因素,并给出一个问题的答案。促进格鲁吉亚经济加速增长的因素:•以改革为导向的政府提供可持续和动态的经济发展- 41.7%•格鲁吉亚的地缘政治位置- 38.3%•欧盟对格鲁吉亚的欧洲视角的认可以及格鲁吉亚加入欧盟的真实视角- 36.7%•与世界上最大的市场(欧盟,中国等)的自由贸易协定- 33.3%•自由市场经济(腐败程度低,官僚主义少,程序简单)•格鲁吉亚丰富多样的自然、历史、文化和美食—26.7%•熟练和相对廉价的劳动力—23.3%•国家发展创业计划:“格鲁吉亚制造”,GITA资助,“引入未来”等- 18.3%•丰富的自然资源- 16.7%•发达的银行体系- 11.7%•格鲁吉亚立法与国际立法的日益协调- 8.3%阻碍格鲁吉亚经济加速增长的因素:•民主不发达,司法系统始终存在问题,政治不稳定,建国经验不足,国家机构未摆脱不健康的政治影响- 55%•区域经济不平等,投资和公共资金在第比利斯和格鲁吉亚其他地区的分配不成比例- 41.7%•高等教育和专业教育水平低,合格劳动力不足- 41.7%•缺乏实施创新创业理念所需的资本;经济实体(生产)部门的低发展水平和对外贸易的高赤字- 41.7%•俄罗斯占领格鲁吉亚领土,潜在的战争威胁和不稳定的南高加索地区。 - 38.3%•高水平的移民- 20%•不发达的股票市场和不可兑换的国家货币- 18.3%•单一中心国家,高度依赖领土行政单位对国家预算转移- 10%•大规模破坏和恶性通货膨胀从苏联继承的经济大国在独立的头几年- 6.7%•运输物流基础设施不充分发展(延迟阿纳克利亚港口项目,欠发达的道路基础设施,在回答第三个问题时,考虑到上述因素,格鲁吉亚需要在2022年达到欧洲经济发展的平均水平。根据收到的答案,这个数字大约是15年。其中,25%的受访者表示不满10年,10%的受访者表示超过25年。格鲁吉亚经济的加速增长,既有促进因素,也有阻碍因素。尽管阻碍经济增长的一些因素不能靠我们自己的努力来解决,但相反,通过有效和协调地利用这些因素,可以将风险降到最低,使国家经济快速增长。要实现经济的快速增长,既要迅速克服消极因素,解决这些消极因素是国家内部问题,又要把所有潜在的和积极的因素同时利用起来,从而促进实体经济的发展和技术创新。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
FACILITATING AND HINDERING FACTORS OF THE ACCELERATED GROWTH OF THE GEORGIAN ECONOMY AND OPINIONS OF THE SCIENTIFIC COMMUNITY (RESULTS OF A SELECTIVE STUDY)
In order to firmly establish a place in the global economy, Georgia must ensure a high rate of economic development and turn from an import-dependent country into the most important player in the global supply chain. Our goal is to find an answer to the question that has been transformed from rhetorical to existential in the post-independence period: "Can we do anything?" Our country's roe highway runs through sustainable and dynamic development, reducing import dependence, achieving an active trade and payment balance - increasing the scale and efficiency of using local resources, attracting, training and using suitably trained personnel with entrepreneurial experience and skills. In an ever-changing global world, new opportunities suddenly appear, and we must be ready to respond faster than others to the new demands of the economy and establish a place in the global supply chain. In our opinion, in order to overcome poverty, attention should be shifted to two main factors: investing a growing part of public funds in education adapted to the requirements of the modern world, and secondly, focusing on the production of products with high added value. The more the raw material goes through the recycling cycle, the more value is added to it and the richer society becomes. Qualified, high-quality education, together with appropriate supporting programs, restores and creates new sectors of the economy, which will be a determining factor in the economic development of Georgia. In order to identify contradictions and opportunities, in the research process, we set the following tasks: • Identification and analysis of factors promoting and hindering the dynamic development of the Georgian economy; • Systematic presentation of conditions and factors ensuring rapid economic development of Georgia and development of appropriate recommendations. In order to achieve the set goal, which included identifying factors promoting and hindering the rapid economic development of Georgia and determining the corresponding effects, from January 9 to January 16, 2023, four higher educational institutions of Georgia (Kutaisi University, Akaki Tsereteli State University, Caucasus University and Ivane Javakhishvili Tbilisi State University) We conducted an online survey among academic staff of the economic profile via corporate e-mail. We believe that in the process of searching and researching the factors of the rapid development of the economy of Georgia, it is important to have the assessments, expert knowledge and opinions of those who are most aware of the situation in the country's national economy and who, through their publications and appeals, regularly provide relevant opinions and recommendations to the central or local authorities. 60 professors and teachers answered the questionnaire, where 11-11 factors promoting and hindering the accelerated growth of the Georgian economy and one question were given. When filling out the questionnaire, the respondents should mark only 3-3 factors that are most important to them, and give one answer to the question. Factors facilitating to the accelerated economic growth of Georgia: • A reform-oriented government providing sustainable and dynamic development of the economy – 41,7% • Geopolitical location of Georgia – 38,3% • The recognition of the European perspective of Georgia by the European Union and the real perspective of Georgia joining the European Union – 36,7% • Free trade agreements with the world's largest markets (EU, China, etc.) – 33,3% • Liberal market economy (low level of corruption, little bureaucracy and procedural simplicity, little tax burden) – 31,7% • Georgia's rich and diverse nature, history, culture and gastronomy – 26,7% • Skilled and relatively cheap labor force – 23,3% • State programs for the development of entrepreneurship: "Make in Georgia", GITA grants, "Introduce the future", etc. – 18,3% • Rich natural resources – 16,7% • A well-developed banking system – 11,7% • Increasing harmonization of Georgian legislation with international legislation – 8,3% Factors Hindering to the accelerated economic growth of Georgia: • Underdeveloped democracy, constant question marks to the judicial system, political instability, little experience of statehood, state institutions not free from unhealthy political influence – 55% • Regional economic inequality, disproportionate distribution of investments and public funds to Tbilisi and the rest of Georgia – 41,7% • Low level of higher and professional education, insufficient qualified workforce – 41,7% • Lack of capital needed to implement innovative entrepreneurial ideas, low level of development of the real (production) sector of the economy and high deficit in foreign trade – 41,7% • Russia's occupation of Georgian territories, the threat of potential war and the unstable South Caucasus region. – 38,3% • High level of emigration – 20% • Underdeveloped stock market and non-convertible national currency – 18,3% • Monocentric state, high dependence of territorial-administrative units on state budget transfers – 10% • Mass destruction and hyperinflation of the economic powers inherited from the Soviet Union in the first years of independence – 6,7% • Inadequately developed transport logistics infrastructure (delayed Anaklia port project, poorly developed road infrastructure, single-lane railway lines) – 6,7% • Scarcity of natural resources and high import dependence on energy resources – 5% In response to the third question, which was about the time Georgia will need to reach the average European level of economic development in 2022, taking into account the listed factors. According to the received answers, this figure was about 15 years. Among them, 25 percent of the respondents named less than 10 years, and 10 percent - more than 25 years. For the accelerated economic growth of Georgia, there are many contributing factors as well as hindering factors. Despite the fact that we cannot solve some of the factors hindering economic growth by our own efforts, on the contrary, with the effective and coordinated use of the contributing factors, it is possible to minimize the risks and the rapid economic growth of the country. For rapid economic growth, it is necessary to quickly overcome the negative factors, the solution of which is an internal national issue, and also to use all the potential and positive factors at the same time, thus promoting the development of the real economy and technological innovations.
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