基于海啸减灾的垂直疏散情景优化模型

R. D. Prayogo, N. Ikhsan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文提出了一个确定海啸垂直疏散最佳情景的优化模型。本研究的目的是在海啸到达海岸之前的可用时间内减少疏散区的受害者人数。海啸是地震发生后海浪在海底以高速传播的一种冲击。沿海地区的居民面临海啸影响的危险。本研究以巴东市为个案研究对象。在疏散方案中,难民被疏散到垂直的疏散结构中,这些疏散结构有足够的高度使难民上升到高于海啸潮汐的高度。以海啸预计到达时间、各垂直疏散结构的容量和难民人数为约束条件,以疏散时间最小为目标函数,利用Matlab进行线性规划,建立了优化模型。仿真结果表明,在可用的疏散时间内,所有难民都按照比例成功疏散。研究结果可用于巴东市政府的海啸减灾工作。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An optimization Model of Vertical Evacuation Scenario on Tsunami Disaster Mitigation
This paper proposes an optimization model to determine the best scenario of tsunami vertical evacuation. The purpose of this study is to mitigate the number of victims in evacuation zones within the available time before tsunami waves reach the coast. The tsunami is wave propagation at high speed as an impact after the earthquakes occurred under the sea. The population in the coastal areas are at risk from tsunami impact. In this study, Padang City is chosen as a case study. In the evacuation plan, the refugees are evacuated to the vertical evacuation structures that have enough height to raise refugees higher than the level of tsunami tide. An optimization model is formulated with linear programming using Matlab, by the objective function is to minimize the evacuation time with the constraints of the estimated time of tsunami arrival, the capacity of each vertical evacuation structures, and the number of refugees. The simulation results show that all refugees are successfully evacuated according to the proportions within available evacuation time. The results of this study can be implemented to support the tsunami disaster mitigation by the Government in Padang City.
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