在移动设备上实现移动平均和软计算算法,支持种植季节日历预测系统

F. Nhita, D. Saepudin, Danang Triantoro, Adiwijaya, U. N. Wisesty
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引用次数: 8

摘要

移动平均和软计算是一种广泛应用于预报特别是降雨预报的算法。降雨预报信息对万隆县的农业至关重要,因此可以给出适合每种植物的种植季节日历。为了得到更好的结果,采用了五种移动平均算法对数据进行预处理。在软计算上采用四种混合算法进行降雨预报,分别是ANFIS、进化模糊算法、模糊语法进化算法和ann嵌套遗传算法。人工神经网络嵌套遗传算法的染色体表示不同于一般的进化神经网络算法。利用降雨预报的结果预测作物、玉米和马铃薯的种植日历。实验表明,ANFIS算法的最佳MAPE训练值为0.1065,而ANN-NGA算法的最佳MAPE测试值为0.127。种植历预测采用修正加权移动平均和ANFIS的最佳预测模型,对作物、玉米和土豆的预测准确率为91.67%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Implementation of Moving Average and Soft Computing algorithm to support planting season calendar forecasting system on mobile device
Moving Average and Soft Computing is an algorithm widely used for forecasting especially for rainfall forecasting. Rainfall forecasting information is crucial for agriculture in Bandung Regency so that a planting season calendar suitable for each plant could be given. To get a better result, Five types of Moving Average algorithm were used on data preprocessing. Rainfall forecasting was done by using four hybrid algorithm on Soft Computing, which were ANFIS, Evolving Fuzzy, Fuzzy-Grammatical Evolution, and ANN-Nested Genetic Algorithm. Chromosome representation done on ANN-Nested Genetic Algorithm is different than common Evolving Neural Network algorithm. Result of rainfall forecasting was used to forecast crops, corns, and potatoes planting calendar. The experiment shown that ANFIS algorithm gives best MAPE training of 0.1065 but ANN-NGA algorithm gives best MAPE testing of 0.127. Planting calendar forecasting used the best prediction model of Modified Weighted Moving Average and ANFIS with accuracy of 91.67% for crops, corns, and potatoes.
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