有退出的小样本纵向临床试验分析的统计方法评价

Takayuki Abe, Manabu Iwasaki
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引用次数: 2

摘要

在比较慢性病治疗方法的纵向临床试验中,数据缺失的主要原因是患者中途退出,即患者因各种原因在试验结束前停止参与试验。这种不完整的数据通常通过所谓的完全分析和/或lof(最后观察结转)来分析。然而,这些程序的有效性需要强有力的假设。多重插值(Multiple imputation, Rubin, 1987)是在随机缺失(Missing At Random)情况下有效的方法。该方法包括“归算”、“分析”和“组合”三个步骤,并提出了各种MI方法。在本文中,我们通过蒙特卡罗模拟,在小样本纵向临床试验的背景下,评估了四种MI方法与完全分析和LOCF方法的性能,以比较两种治疗方法。这些方法的性能与非正常数据(即反应者和非反应者的混合物)也进行了检查。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
EVALUATION OF STATISTICAL METHODS FOR ANALYSIS OF SMALL-SAMPLE LONGITUDINAL CLINICAL TRIALS WITH DROPOUTS
In longitudinal clinical trials that compare treatments of chronic diseases missing data occur mainly because of dropouts, where patients stop participating in the trial before the completion due to various reasons. Such incomplete data are often analyzed by using so-called completer analysis and/or LOCF (Last Observation Carried Forward). However, such procedures require strong assumptions for their validity. Multiple imputation (MI) (Rubin, 1987) is a valid method under MAR (Missing At Random). This method consists of three steps ("imputation", "analysis" and "combination") and various methods for MI also have been proposed. In this paper, we evaluate the performance of four methods for MI contrasted with completer analysis and LOCF via Monte-Carlo simulations in the context of small-sample longitudinal clinical trials for comparison of two treatments. The performance of these methods with non-normal data (i.e. mixture of responders and non-responders) is also examined.
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