16岁至55岁就业转变的风险因素:一项英国队列研究

Caixia Hu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

健康、教育和社会经济地位一直被认为与中年的就业转变有关,但对于英国人来说,这些联系到底是什么,以及这些联系随着时间的推移是如何变化的,人们知之甚少。本研究的目的是调查这些因素与英国队列中男性和女性的就业转变之间的关系。本文以1958年NCDS数据集为例,采用多元归算的方法对数据进行归算,采用正反向逐步回归的方法对变量进行选择,并结合平均和加权平均对重复测度进行处理。使用生命表和Kaplan-Meier方法来显示就业过渡持续时间的分布。为了建立首次就业、首次失业与健康状况、教育成绩、社会经济背景等因素之间的关系,需要生存分析的离散时间logit模型。我们的研究结果表明,应该更多地关注改善16岁之前个体的健康状况、教育水平和社会经济背景,这可以缩短首次就业的时间,降低失业的可能性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risk Factors Of Employment Transitions From Age 16 To 55 Years: A British Cohort Study
Health, educational and socioeconomic status have been thought to be related to employment transitions in mid-life, but little is known about what the associations really are and how the associations change over time for British individuals. The purpose of this research is to investigate relationships between these factors and employment transitions for men and women in a British cohort. This paper uses the data set 1958 NCDS, and the method multiple imputation to impute the data, uses forward-backward stepwise regression to select variables and combine using average and weighted average to treat repeated measures. Lifetabe and Kaplan-Meier methods are used to show the distribution of duration to employment transitions. The discrete-time logit model of survival analysis is required to build the relationship between first employment, first unemployment and factors including health status, educational performance, and socioeconomic background. Our findings suggest more attention should be paid to improve health conditions, educational levels and socioeconomic background of individuals before age 16, which could shorten the time to first employment and reduce the possibility to be unemployed.
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