气候变化对糯米生产水足迹的影响评估及适应策略——以泰国乌隆他尼省为例

Choticha Suwannakhot, N. Pumijumnong, Sukanya Sereenonchai, Winai Chaowiwat, Noppol Arunrat
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引用次数: 0

摘要

水是泰国农业部门最重要的变量。特别是,水稻种植在生长季节需要大量的水。因此,本研究的目的是估计水足迹(WF)和气候变化对糯米(RD 6)作物水分利用(CWU)的影响,并调查乌隆他尼省Kumphawapi区Cha Lae街道农民的气候变化适应策略。在雨灌条件下,基于CMIP6模式,利用CROPWAT8.0程序计算SSP245和SSP585情景下近(2015-2039)、中(2040-2069)和远(2070-2100)3个时段的WF和CWU值。结果表明,在基线情景下,雨养和灌溉条件下的总WF值分别为41400.87 m3ton - 1和3707.10 m3ha - 1。在SSP245和SSP585情景下,由于温度升高导致蒸散量增加,近、中、远未来总CWU值将增加1.20% ~ 6.63%。同时,96.97%的农民认为气候变化正在发生变化,81.82%的农民认为气候变化对他们的农场有影响。最普遍和最有效的气候变化适应策略是增加灌溉、改变肥料施用量和种植耐旱水稻品种。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Water Footprint of Glutinous Rice (RD6) Production and Adaptation Strategies: A Case Study of Udon Thani Province, Thailand
Water is the most important variable in Thailand's agricultural sector. In particular, rice cultivation necessitates a large amount of water during the growing season. Therefore, the objectives of this study were to estimate the water footprint (WF) and the impact of climate change on glutinous rice (RD 6) crop water use (CWU) and to investigate farmers' climate change adaptation strategies in Cha Lae Sub-district, Kumphawapi District, Udon Thani Province. Under rain-fed and irrigated conditions, the CROPWAT8.0 program was used to calculate the WF and CWU values under the SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios based on the CMIP6 model at three time periods: near (2015–2039), mid (2040–2069), and far (2070–2100). The results showed that the total WF values under rain-fed and irrigated conditions in the baseline scenario were 4140.87 m3ton−1 and 3707.10 m3ha−1, respectively. While in the SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios, total CWU values will rise by 1.20 to 6.63% in the near, mid, and far future due to higher temperatures resulting in increased evapotranspiration. Meanwhile, 96.97% of farmers perceived that climate change has been changing, and 81.82% believed climate change had an impact on their farms. The most popular and effective climate change adaptation strategies were increasing irrigation, changing fertilizer application rates, and planting drought-tolerant rice varieties.
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