具有重尾和序列依赖的随机波动率模型的估计

J. Chan, C. Hsiao
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引用次数: 67

摘要

金融时间序列通常表现出与序列独立性和正态性的通常假设不同的特性。这包括波动性聚类、重尾性和序列依赖性。在过去十年中出现了大量关于模拟这些经验规律的不同方法的文献。在本文中,我们回顾了各种高度灵活的随机波动模型的估计,并介绍了一些基于状态空间模拟技术最新进展的有效算法。这些估计方法通过涉及贵金属和外汇收益的经验例子加以说明。并提供了相应的Matlab代码。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models with Heavy Tails and Serial Dependence
Financial time series often exhibit properties that depart from the usual assumptions of serial independence and normality. These include volatility clustering, heavy-tailedness and serial dependence. A voluminous literature on different approaches for modeling these empirical regularities has emerged in the last decade. In this paper we review the estimation of a variety of highly flexible stochastic volatility models, and introduce some efficient algorithms based on recent advances in state space simulation techniques. These estimation methods are illustrated via empirical examples involving precious metal and foreign exchange returns. The corresponding Matlab code is also provided.
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