泡沫企业动态与总体波动

Haozhou Tang, Donghai Zhang
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文通过考虑资产泡沫,推广了一个具有内生进入和内生退出的标准异质企业模型。我们强调了泡沫的选择效应,它激励低生产率企业进入或留在市场。我们表明,总泡沫的上升可以通过增加进入者数量和减少退出者数量来促进实体经济活动。利用企业层面的数据,我们发现估值过高的企业退出市场的可能性较小,这支持了泡沫传导的新渠道。此外,我们还表明,模型隐含的脉冲响应与数据中识别的脉冲响应一致。最后,我们证明了一个没有气泡的模型不能再现我们的实证发现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Bubbly Firm Dynamics and Aggregate Fluctuations
This study generalizes a standard heterogeneous firm model with endogenous entry and exit by allowing for asset bubbles. We highlight the selection effect of bubbles that incentivizes low-productivity firms to enter or remain in the market. We show that a rise in the aggregate bubble can boost real economic activities by increasing the number of entrants and decreasing the number of exits. Using firm-level data, we find that an overvalued firm is less likely to exit the market, which supports the novel transmission channel of bubbles. Moreover, we show that the model-implied impulse responses are consistent with those identified in the data. Finally, we demonstrate that a model without bubbles fails to reproduce our empirical findings.
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