基于模拟的城市地区疏散规划

Theodoros Chondrogiannis, Panagiotis Bouros, Winfried Emser
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引用次数: 1

摘要

疏散规划是灾害管理中的一项重要任务。特别是在自然灾害或恐怖袭击等情况下,大量人群需要远离危险并到达指定的安全区。为此,人们提出了各种有效计算城市地区疏散计划的方法。为了评估计算出的计划,以前的工作采用启发式方法,只能粗略估计每个计划的出口时间。直观地说,更好的方法是通过模拟来估计出口时间。然而,设计仿真模型通常是一项耗时的任务,而且该模型只能用于评估特定区域的疏散计划。在本文中,我们讨论了提出EURASIM的这些问题。我们的系统能够自动生成城市地区的模拟模型。此外,EURASIM的设计方式可以很容易地整合疏散计划的算法,从而作为开发更好解决方案的试验台。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Simulation-based Evacuation Planning for Urban Areas
Evacuation planning is a critical task in disaster management. Especially in situations such as natural disasters or terrorist attacks, large crowds need to move away from danger and reach designated safe zones. For this purpose, various approaches that efficiently compute evacuation plans in urban areas have been proposed. To evaluate the computed plans, previous works employ heuristics that can only roughly estimate the egress time of each plan. Intuitively, a much better approach is to estimate the egress time via simulation. However, designing a simulation model is usually a time-consuming task and, what is more, this model can only be used to evaluate evacuation plans for a specific area. In this paper, we address these issues presenting EURASIM. Our system enables the automated generation of simulation models for urban areas. Furthermore, EURASIM is designed in a way that algorithms for evacuation planning can be easily integrated, thus functioning as a testbed for the development of even better solutions.
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