一种改进的多输出层回声状态网络用于时间序列预测

Yanning Shao, Xianshuang Yao, Gong Wang, Shengxian Cao
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引用次数: 1

摘要

通过研究传统的回声状态网络,其输出结构只有一个输出层,使用相同的输出权值学习方法,使得网络化的预测结果并不总是可靠的。为此,本文提出了一种并行配置的多输出层回声状态网络(MOL-ESN)用于时间序列预测。针对MOL-ESN的输出结构,构建了不同输出权值学习方法的多个输出层。考虑到引入了多个输出层,训练MOL-ESN的计算负担也会增加,因此在保证网络输出稳定的前提下,需要提高MOL-ESN的预测性能。最后,通过仿真算例验证了所提网络的有效性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A New Improved Echo State Network with Multiple Output Layers for Time Series Prediction
Through investigating the traditional echo state network, their output structure has only one output layer using the same output weight learning method, such that the networked prediction results is not always reliable. Therefore, a new echo state network with multiple output layers (MOL-ESN) in parallel configuration is proposed for time series prediction in this paper. For the output structure of MOL-ESN, multiple output layers with different output weight learning methods are built. Considering the multiple output layers are introduced, the computing burden of training the MOL-ESN will be also increased, and thus, on the premise of ensuring the stable network output, the prediction performance of the MOL-ESN need to be improved. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed network is verified by a simulation example.
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