转型期中国财政支出结构调整方案的设计与验证——基于非竞争性输入输出预测模型的仿真分析

Yekai Li, Ma Chao, Wang Shu-qiang
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引用次数: 1

摘要

当前,中国经济正从起飞期进入转型期,财政政策的目标也从促进经济增长转变为稳定经济增长、调整经济结构。为了实现这些目标,我们建立了一个非竞争性I/O预测模型,通过调整现有的财政支出计划,我们还分析了实施新计划对中国经济总量和经济结构的影响。结果表明,在当前形势下,政府在调整新的财政支出计划时应采取不同的投资策略,降低基础设施投资水平,扩大卫生和教育投资,并在实施新的投资计划过程中理顺人们的预期,从而实现稳定经济增长和优化经济结构的并行发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Design and verification of the adjustment plan of Chinese fiscal spending structure during the period of transition — Simulation analysis based on a non-competitive I/O predictive model
Currently, China's economy is moving from the take-off period into the transition period, and the objective of fiscal policy also changes from promoting economic growth to stabilizing economic growth and adjusting the economic structure. In order to achieve these objectives, we have established a non-competitive I/O predictive model, by adjusting the existing financial spending program, we also analyzed the impact of implementing a new program on China's total economic output and economic structure. The results show, under the current situation, when adjusting the new fiscal spending program, the government should adopt a different investment strategy, reducing the level of investment on infrastructure, expanding investment on health and education, and rationalizing people's expectation during the course of implementing the new investment program, therefore achieving the parallel development by stabilizing economic growth and optimizing the economic structure.
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