产业政策对坦桑尼亚农业部门的贡献:定量评价

N. Sansa
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究评估了产业政策对坦桑尼亚农业部门的贡献。在此基础上,应用简单回归模型评价产业政策对农业宏观经济变量的贡献。在坦桑尼亚,工业政策于1996年启动、构建并开始实施。为此,对第3届政府(1996 ~ 2005年)、第4届政府(2006 ~ 2015年)、1996 ~ 2015年期间产业政策的贡献进行了分析。结果表明:1996 - 2015年,经济开放度与农业部门,特别是农业GDP和农业粮食生产等农业经济变量之间存在显著的正相关关系。在分析产业政策及其对工业化和结构变化的影响时,不应脱离经济动态,特别是脱离土地变化的趋势。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Contribution of Industrial Policies on Agriculture Sector in Tanzania: A Quantitative Appraisal
The present study evaluate the contribution of Industrial Policies On Agriculture Sector In Tanzania. On that perspective, Simple Regression model has been applied to evaluate the contribution of Industrial Policies on Agriculture Macro Economic Variables. In Tanzania The Industrial Policy initiated, constructed and started to be implemented in the year of 1996. With this regards, The Contribution of Industrial Policies analyzed in the Third Government Presidential Term (1996-2005), the Fourth Government Presidential Term (2006-2015), and the whole period of the year 1996 to 2015.The results shows that there is significant Positive relationship between Economic Openness and Agriculture Sector, Specifically Agriculture Economic Variables such as Agriculture GDP and Agriculture Food Production in the whole period of 1996 - 2015. It is not advisable to analyse industrial policy and its effects on industrialization and structural change in isolation from economy dynamics and specifically from trend in agrarian change.
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