Modeling of Environmental Safety of Industrially Developed Regions of Russia

The paper presents the study on modeling of objects and processes to forecast environmental safety in industrially developed regions of Russia. It is shown that the sources of pollution of the regional environment form a complex technogenic system triggering the development of qualitatively new negative processes violating comfortable living conditions of the local population. The complexity and scientific uncertainty of environmental impacts caused the development of modern methods of analysis of environmental safety in the region. The purpose of experimental and theoretical study was to develop a rational complex of modeling procedures ensuring reliable forecast as a basis of efficient solution to manage regional environmental condition. The above purpose was achieved via joint use of such mathematical methods as the integrated system analysis, synthesis of alternatives, algorithmization of processes and generalization of experimental data.