El Niño南方涛动(ENSO)对中小城市地表温度影响的统计模拟:以古晋沙捞越为例

Ricky Anak Kemarau, O. V. Eboy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

厄尔尼诺Niño南方涛动(ENSO)可以影响每天的温度和降雨量以及洪水和干旱等极端天气。因此,科学家们需要了解ENSO的发展过程,并开发统计模型来预测ENSO对地表温度的影响。遥感数据提供了空间信息,可用于分析ENSO对地表温度空间格局的影响。本研究探讨了利用遥感数据研究和开发预测ENSO对地表温度空间格局影响的统计模型的能力。遥感数据需要经过预处理和数字数字转换成地表温度(LST)。为确保遥感资料准确,校正过程使用马来西亚气象局(MMD)的温度记录。下一步是进行LST与Oceanic Niño Index (ONI)的相关分析。最后一步是利用线性回归建立预测ENSO对温度和地表温度影响的统计模型。结果发现,ONI值的变化会影响地表温度和温度的值。提高对ENSO的认识和理解可以为减少和适应ENSO对人类的影响提供思路和策略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Statistical Modeling of Impacts El Niño Southern Oscillations (ENSO) on Land Surface Temperature in Small Medium Size City: Case Study Kuching Sarawak
El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) can affect the daily temperature and the amount of rainfall and extreme weather such as floods and droughts. For that reason, scientists need to understand the process of developing ENSO and develop statistical models to predict the impact of ENSO to land surface temperature. The remote sensing data provide spatial information that allows analyzing the influence of ENSO on land surface temperature spatial patterns. This study examines the ability of remote sensing data to study and develop model statistical for predicting the ENSO effect on land surface temperature spatial patterns. Remote sensing data needs to go through a pre-process and digital Number conversion to Land Surface Temperature (LST). To ensure accurate remote sensing information, the calibration process is carried out using temperature records from the Meteorological Malaysia Department (MMD). The next step is to conduct a correlation analysis between LST and Oceanic Niño Index (ONI). The final step is to use linear regression in building a statistical model forecasting the influence of ENSO on temperature and LST. The result found that changes in ONI values influence the value of LST and temperature. Improving knowledge and understanding of ENSO can provide ideas and strategies in reducing and adapting to the impact of ENSO on human beings.
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