通过刑事没收来震慑?波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那联邦的一些探索性发现

Darko Datzer, Eldan Mujanović
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摘要

写作原因和研究问题:大部分犯罪都有金钱动机。从刑事司法的角度来看,合乎逻辑的结果将是消除犯罪的利益,这将使犯罪变得毫无意义,并减少或消除潜在犯罪者犯罪的动机。以前的经验研究,特别是在波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那的经验研究,没有充分解决通过刑事没收进行威慑的问题。本文件的目的(科学和/或社会):本文件利用波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那联邦的综合数据审查威慑的先决条件,力求探讨刑事没收的威慑效果。方法/设计:这项研究是探索性的,目的不是提供波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那联邦没收情况的确定、彻底和全面的情况,而是概述整个情况。数据来自2003年至2016年的284项终审法院裁决。研究/论文局限性:由于关于包含没收令的司法案件数量的明确数据在很大程度上是未知的,因此该研究完全依赖于一个数据来源,并且不确定其代表性。此外,研究威慑特性(确定性、严重性和快速性)的总体数据水平经常存在争议,并且存在大量缺失值,这确实是本研究的情况。结果/调查结果:调查结果表明,波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那联邦的没收金额相当低,与通过犯罪实际获得的价值相差甚远,远低于欧洲没收案件的平均水平。报告还发现,相对于每年报告的典型获取性犯罪的总数,很少使用没收,如果使用,则需要冗长的程序才能得出一般性结论:由于不存在有效威慑的先决条件,因此不能合理地期望没收对犯罪的一般水平产生重大影响。研究/论文效度:本研究开发了确定性、严重性和快速性的测量方法。以往的威慑研究也采用了类似的研究方法和措施。所使用的方法和措施似乎是合理的,以检查上述概念,确保适当的表面效度水平。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Deterrence Through Criminal Confiscation? Some Exploratory Findings From Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina
Reason(s) for writing and research problem(s): Large bulk of crime has pecuniary motives. From the criminal justice perspective, logical consequence would be to remove the profit out of crime, which would make crime pointless and reduce or remove the motivation of would-be wrongdoers to commit crime. Prior empirical research, especially in Bosnia and Herzegovina, did not sufficiently address deterrence through criminal confiscation. Aims of the paper (scientific and/or social): This paper has sought to explore deterrent ef-fect of criminal confiscation by examining prerequisites for deterrence using aggregate data from Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Methodology/Design: The study is exploratory and aims to provide not a definitive, thorough and comprehensive picture of confiscation landscape in Federation of Bosnia and Herze-govina, but to sketch an overall state of affairs. Data from 284 final court rulings were ob-tained covering years 2003-2016. Research/paper limitations: Since the clear data on number of judicial cases containing con-fiscation order is largely unknown, the study relies completely on one source of data and is uncertain on representativeness. Furthermore, aggregate level of data in studying deterrence properties (certainty, severity and celerity) are often contested and abundant with missing values, which was indeed the case with this study. Results/Findings: Findings suggest that confiscation amounts in Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina are rather low, do not remotely match the values actually gained through crime and are far below European average for confiscation cases. It is also found that confiscation is rarely used relative to total number of typical acquisitive crimes reported each year and when used, it is in lengthy procedures for General conclusion: With non-existent prerequisites for effective deterrence, confiscation cannot reasonably be expected to have significant impact on general levels of offending. Research/paper validity: Measures of certainty, severity and celerity were developed for this study. Similar research methods and measures were utilized in previous research on deter-rence. Utilized methods and measures seem reasonable to examine concepts above, ensuring appropriate level of face validity.
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