从债务催收到债务减免:通过巴黎俱乐部进行官方债务重组的60年

Gong Cheng, Javier Díaz-Cassou, Aitor Erce
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引用次数: 12

摘要

尽管官方债务重组频繁发生,但关于其特点和影响的系统证据却很少。本文利用涵盖400多项巴黎俱乐部协议的数据集,旨在填补这一空白。它全面描述了这些业务的演变特征,并研究了围绕它们的经济动态。新的待遇条件的逐步采用逐渐使巴黎俱乐部从一个单纯的收债者变成了一个提供连续债务减免的机构。研究发现,涉及名义减免的更慷慨的重组条件与更高的经济增长有关。相比之下,仅包括NPV减免的协议对经济增长没有积极影响。然而,事实证明,获得这些重组条件的国家在事后更有可能采取审慎的财政政策,而不是那些接受名义减值的国家。换句话说,在决定通过债务重组给予何种救济时,官方部门面临着刺激增长和促进财政可持续性目标之间的权衡。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
From Debt Collection to Relief Provision: 60 Years of Official Debt Restructurings Through the Paris Club
Despite the frequency of official debt restructurings, little systematic evidence has been produced on their characteristics and implications. Using a dataset covering more than 400 Paris Club agreements, this paper aims to fill that gap. It provides a comprehensive description of the evolving characteristics of these operations and studies the economic dynamics surrounding them. The progressive introduction of new terms of treatment gradually turned the Paris Club from a mere debt collector into a provider of sequential debt relief. The study finds that more generous restructuring conditions involving nominal relief are associated with higher economic growth. In contrast, agreements including only NPV relief have no positive impact on growth. However, the countries that get these restructuring conditions turn out to be more likely to pursue a prudent fiscal policy after the event than those receiving a nominal haircut. In other words, when deciding upon the type of relief to be granted through debt restructuring, the official sector faces a trade-off between the objectives of stimulating growth and fostering fiscal sustainability.
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