核武器、网络战争和网络安全:伦理和预期的伦理问题

Richard E. Wilson, Alexia Fitz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我们讨论了核武器、网络战和网络安全之间的相互关系。目前,对核稳定的一些最重大的网络威胁是由于与核武器相关的技术和网络技术的交叉。网络战争现在可以通过对核系统和核武器的网络攻击来参与和影响国际事件。在目前俄罗斯和乌克兰之间的战争中,一直存在使用核武器的威胁。由于网络战已经在俄罗斯/乌克兰冲突中使用,因此网络攻击可能被用来触发核事件。为了防止网络战导致核战争,需要关注网络安全,以保护核系统和核武库,同时也要减轻可能导致使用核武器的网络攻击。核武器系统面临的主要风险之一是遭到破坏。不难想象,网络攻击者会将错误的信息输入系统,甚至控制核武器。核武器系统的各个部分都有可能成为攻击目标。指挥和控制系统、警报系统、发射系统和目标定位系统都可能成为目标。警报系统被黑客入侵并显示对手进行核攻击的场景可能导致意外的核冲突。同样可以想象的是,黑客可以操纵(预编程的)核导弹目标的坐标,或者欺骗一些导弹用来计算目标位置的类似gps的系统。目前没有证据表明任何国家或非国家行为体能够成功地进行此类操纵,但考虑到网络领域的指数级发展速度,在不久的将来,此类攻击可能成为可能。在最坏的情况下,这些可能性可能导致无意中使用核武器,和/或对意外目标使用核武器。在不太严重的情况下,核武器系统的脆弱性可能会影响核稳定。这可能导致核武器的威慑价值下降。这可能是因为潜在的对手可能认为他们在使用这些武器时可以选择操纵这些武器。很难预测核威慑减弱的影响。该分析将定义一个利益相关者框架,用于识别网络战争和核战争的道德和预期道德问题,并将这些问题与网络安全的重要性联系起来。在讨论使用核武器、核战争和网络战时,道德应该成为核心。道德问题应该成为讨论核战争的核心。之所以需要这种道义上的关注,是因为核系统和核武器对脆弱人口的威胁,以及使用核武器对民主体制的威胁。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Nuclear Weapons, Cyber Warfare, and Cyber Security: Ethical and Anticipated Ethical Issues
     In this paper, we discuss the interrelationship of nuclear weapons, cyber warfare, and cyber security. Some of the most significant cyber threats to nuclear stability are now due to the intersection of technologies related to nuclear weapons and cyber technology. Cyber warfare can now be used to engage in and influence international events through cyber attacks upon nuclear systems and weapons. In the current war between Russia and Ukraine there has been the threat of the use of nuclear weapons. Since cyber warfare has already been employed in the Russia/Ukraine conflict it is possible that cyber attacks could be employed to trigger a nuclear event. To prevent cyber warfare from leading to nuclear warfare there needs to be a focus on cyber security in order to protect nuclear systems and nuclear arsenals but also to mitigate cyber attacks that could lead to the use of nuclear weapons.        One of the main risks to nuclear weapons systems is sabotage. It is easy to imagine cyber attackers placing incorrect information into systems and even taking control of nuclear weapons. Various parts of nuclear weapons systems are capable of being targeted.  Command and control systems, alert systems, launch systems, and target-positioning systems could all become targets. Scenarios in which alert systems are hacked and show a nuclear attack by adversaries, may lead to an accidental nuclear conflict. It is also conceivable that hackers could manipulate the coordinates of (pre-programmed) targets of nuclear missiles, or to spoof GPS-like systems that some missiles use to calculate their positions their targets. At the present time there is no evidence that any state or non-state actor is able to successfully perform such manipulations but considering the exponential rate of developments in the cyber arena, in the near future, such attacks might be possible. In the worst-case scenarios, these possibilities could lead to the inadvertent use of nuclear weapons, and/or use against unintended targets. In less dramatic scenarios, the perceived vulnerabilities of the nuclear weapons systems may affect nuclear stability. This could lead to a decrease in the deterrent value of nuclear weapons. This could come about because potential adversaries may think they have options to manipulate these weapons when being used. It is difficult to forecast the effects of decreasing nuclear deterrence.     This analysis will define a stakeholder framework for identifying the ethical and anticipated ethical issues with cyber warfare and nuclear warfare and relate these issues to the importance of cyber security. Ethics should be at the center of the discussion of the use of nuclear weapons, nuclear warfare and cyber warfare. Moral concerns should be at the center of the discussion of nuclear warfare. The need for this moral concern is due to the threat to vulnerable populations by nuclear systems and nuclear weapons, as well as the threat posed  to democratic institutions by the use of nuclear weapons.
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