黄金会长期发光吗?黄金作为对冲和避险的时间和投资范围

Don Bredin, T. Conlon, Valerio Potì
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引用次数: 220

摘要

在市场动荡时期,投资者往往寻求降低与股票和债务等传统投资资产相关的风险。本文从短期和长期角度考察了黄金的套期保值、避险和降低下行风险的特性。利用小波分析,我们发现黄金作为各种国际股票和债券市场的短期对冲。在金融危机期间,黄金的避险属性得到了进一步确立,黄金被证明是各个领域股票和债券投资者的避风港。最后,黄金在短期内降低了投资组合的下行风险,但在经济衰退期间,实际上可能会增加长期的下行风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does Gold Glitter in the Long-Run? Gold as a Hedge and Safe Haven Across Time and Investment Horizon
During times of market turmoil, investors often seek to mitigate the risk associated with traditional investment assets such as equities and debt. The hedging, safe-haven and downside risk reduction properties of gold are examined in this paper for investors with short- and long-run horizons. Utilizing wavelet analysis, we find that gold acts as a short-run hedge for a variety of international equity and debt markets. The safe haven properties of gold during financial crises are further established, with gold shown to act as a safe haven for equity and debt investors across all horizons. Finally, gold is shown to reduce portfolio downside risk in the short-term but may actually contribute to increased long horizon downside risk during recessionary periods.
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