破产概率估计的几种方法

I. Mircea, Mihaela Covrig
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引用次数: 0

摘要

保险公司的破产概率是精算数学中的主要问题之一。在风险理论的经典泊松模型中存在破产概率的解析表达式,而在其他风险模型中则没有。为此,研究人员试图找到上界和下界,以及更好的近似值。本文讨论了一些估计风险过程的方法:De Vylder, Beekman-Bowers, Cramer-Lundberg, Grandell, Renyi, Tijms, Willmot,以及可以通过带漂移的布朗运动近似风险过程得到的扩散近似。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Some Methods Used in the Estimation of the Ruin Probability
The ruin probability of an insurance company is one of the main issues in actuarial mathematics. In the classical Poisson model of the risk theory there exist analytic expressions for the ruin probability, but in other risk models, there are not. For this, researchers try to find upper and lower bounds, and better approximations. In this paper, we discuss some methods of estimating it: De Vylder, Beekman-Bowers, Cramer-Lundberg, Grandell, Renyi, Tijms, Willmot, and the diffusion approximation which can be obtained approximating the risk process by a Brownian motion with drift.
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