发展基于mcdm的框架,积极管理交通事故最关键的风险因素:以利比亚为例研究

Ibrahim Badi, Mouhamed Bayane Bouraima
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引用次数: 2

摘要

道路交通事故是利比亚的一个主要公共卫生问题,利比亚是世界上死亡率最高的国家之一。在本文中,我们提出了一种混合方法,使用改进的模糊逐级权重评估比分析(IMF-SWARA)方法来识别交通事故最关键的风险因素,并用组合妥协解(CoCoSo)方法来对减轻这些风险的策略进行排序。我们的研究使用了利比亚的一个案例研究来证明所提出方法的有效性。采用IMF-SWARA方法对交通事故风险因素进行加权,分析表明驾驶员相关因素是交通事故最关键的风险因素。然后,我们使用CoCoSo方法对降低这些风险的策略进行排名,我们的分析表明,驾驶员培训和教育是最重要的策略。我们的研究总共提出了六种策略,政策制定者可以使用这些策略来主动管理利比亚交通事故相关的风险。拟议的方法可适用于其他国家,以确定关键风险因素并制定有效的风险管理框架。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Development of MCDM-based Frameworks for Proactively Managing the Most Critical Risk Factors for Transport Accidents: A Case Study in Libya
Road transport accidents are a major public health concern in Libya, with one of the highest death rates in the world. In this paper, we propose a hybrid approach using the improved fuzzy step-wise weight assessment ratio analysis (IMF-SWARA) method to identify the most critical risk factors for transport accidents, and the combined compromise solution (CoCoSo) method to rank the strategies for mitigating these risks. Our study uses a case study in Libya to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The IMF-SWARA method is used to weight the risk factors for transport accidents, and our analysis shows that driver-related factors are the most critical risk factors. We then use the CoCoSo method to rank the strategies for mitigating these risks, and our analysis shows that driver training and education is the most important strategy. Our study suggests six strategies in total, which can be used by policymakers to proactively manage the risks associated with transport accidents in Libya. The proposed approach can be applied to other countries to identify critical risk factors and develop effective risk management frameworks.
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