{"title":"离网太阳能光伏装置的电池监测与能量预测","authors":"Sailen Nair, William Becerra Gonzalez, J. Braid","doi":"10.1109/ROBOMECH.2019.8704728","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This document details the design and implementation for an off-grid PV energy management system with key objectives being battery monitoring and energy forecasting. Coulomb counting is used to estimate the state of charge of a 24 V, 100 Ah lead-acid battery bank. An ACS712 hall effect current sensor module is used to implement the coulomb counter. A random forest regression model is used to predict solar irradiance with a root mean square error of 15.4%, when comparing actual Johannesburg irradiance data to predicted data. Energy forecasting is successfully done with a root mean square error of 6.2% for a three-day continuous test. It is concluded that the proposed solution successfully demonstrates a working principle for an energy management system, however, further improvements are needed to make the forecast model as accurate as possible.","PeriodicalId":344332,"journal":{"name":"2019 Southern African Universities Power Engineering Conference/Robotics and Mechatronics/Pattern Recognition Association of South Africa (SAUPEC/RobMech/PRASA)","volume":"6768 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"2","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Battery Monitoring and Energy Forecasting for an Off-Grid Solar Photovoltaic Installation\",\"authors\":\"Sailen Nair, William Becerra Gonzalez, J. Braid\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ROBOMECH.2019.8704728\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This document details the design and implementation for an off-grid PV energy management system with key objectives being battery monitoring and energy forecasting. Coulomb counting is used to estimate the state of charge of a 24 V, 100 Ah lead-acid battery bank. An ACS712 hall effect current sensor module is used to implement the coulomb counter. A random forest regression model is used to predict solar irradiance with a root mean square error of 15.4%, when comparing actual Johannesburg irradiance data to predicted data. Energy forecasting is successfully done with a root mean square error of 6.2% for a three-day continuous test. It is concluded that the proposed solution successfully demonstrates a working principle for an energy management system, however, further improvements are needed to make the forecast model as accurate as possible.\",\"PeriodicalId\":344332,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2019 Southern African Universities Power Engineering Conference/Robotics and Mechatronics/Pattern Recognition Association of South Africa (SAUPEC/RobMech/PRASA)\",\"volume\":\"6768 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"2\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2019 Southern African Universities Power Engineering Conference/Robotics and Mechatronics/Pattern Recognition Association of South Africa (SAUPEC/RobMech/PRASA)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ROBOMECH.2019.8704728\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2019 Southern African Universities Power Engineering Conference/Robotics and Mechatronics/Pattern Recognition Association of South Africa (SAUPEC/RobMech/PRASA)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ROBOMECH.2019.8704728","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Battery Monitoring and Energy Forecasting for an Off-Grid Solar Photovoltaic Installation
This document details the design and implementation for an off-grid PV energy management system with key objectives being battery monitoring and energy forecasting. Coulomb counting is used to estimate the state of charge of a 24 V, 100 Ah lead-acid battery bank. An ACS712 hall effect current sensor module is used to implement the coulomb counter. A random forest regression model is used to predict solar irradiance with a root mean square error of 15.4%, when comparing actual Johannesburg irradiance data to predicted data. Energy forecasting is successfully done with a root mean square error of 6.2% for a three-day continuous test. It is concluded that the proposed solution successfully demonstrates a working principle for an energy management system, however, further improvements are needed to make the forecast model as accurate as possible.