马来西亚股市的偏相关阈值网络分析

Yasaman Eftekharypour, Chuan Hai Ngo, H. Ong
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引用次数: 1

摘要

多年来,皮尔逊相互关系一直被用作监测一对股票回报之间关系的工具。在任何一对股票之间的相关性中,不能区分第三只股票的作用导致了偏相关的提出。本研究首先计算了2016年246个交易日内1098只马来西亚活跃股票的对数回报收盘价的相互关系。考虑大小为5的移动窗口(每周5个工作日),其中任意两个股票之间的最终相关值是所有计算窗口的平均值。结果用于计算偏相关的统计度量,以显示任何两只股票之间的相关性如何受到第三只股票的影响。创建获得结果的部分相关阈值网络(PCTN),其中顶点是库存,一对节点之间的边表示它们的部分影响。根据强连通分量(SCC)的个数,研究了PCTN方程的不同K阈值下的PCTN。最后,对具有最大SCC数的PCTN进行了分析。根据我们的观察,属于交易服务类的股票对其他股票的影响更大。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Partial Correlation Threshold Network Analysis of Malaysia Stock Market
It is for years that Pearson cross correlation is used as a tool to monitor the relationship between a pair of equity returns. Incapability of cross correlation in distinguishing the role of a third stock in the correlation between any pair of stocks caused proposing partial correlation. This research first calculates the cross correlation of log return closing price of 1098 active Malaysia stocks in period of 246 trading days of 2016. A moving window of size five (five working days per week) is considered whereby the finial correlation value between any two stocks is the average of all calculated windows. Results are used to calculate the statistical measure of partial correlation to show how the correlation between any two stocks is affected by a third stock. The Partial Correlation Threshold Network (PCTN) of the obtained results is created where vertices are stocks and edges between a pair of nodes represents their partial influence. The PCTNs are investigated for different K threshold value of PCTN equation, in terms of number of Strongly Connected Components (SCC). Finally, the PCTN with maximum number of SCC is analyzed. Based on our observations, stocks belonged to Trading-Services group have more influence on other stocks.
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