财产犯罪热点的时空特征分析。以沙捞越古晋为例

Norita Jubit, Tarmiji Masron, A. Marzuki
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究旨在确定2015-2017年1月至12月沙捞越古晋财产犯罪的月度热点。本研究选择热点分析(Hot Spot Analysis, Getis Ord Gi*),因为它可以在其相邻边界附近检测出具有相似值的空间聚类区域。它可以给出具有不同统计显著性水平的热点和冷点的输出。Gita警察局部门边界在2015年被确定为8个月的高价值集群,在2016年也有7个月的高价值集群。然而,2017年,巴东干派出所部门边界被确定为高价值集群,为期四个月。在古晋,沙捞越财产犯罪的热点随着时间和地点的变化而变化。本研究发现,节假日是影响古晋沙捞越财产犯罪率上升的外生因素。本研究结果可以帮助警察准确预测犯罪趋势,这将有利于管理规划。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ANALYZING THE SPATIAL TEMPORAL OF PROPERTY CRIME HOT SPOTS. A CASE STUDY OF KUCHING, SARAWAK
This study aims to determine the monthly hot spots of property crime in Kuching, Sarawak from January-December, 2015-2017. Hot Spot Analysis (Getis Ord Gi*) was chosen for this study because it can detect the areas that have spatial clustering with similar values around its neighboring boundaries. It can present an output for hot spots and cold spots with different levels of statistical significance. Gita Police Station sector boundaries were identified as a high-value cluster for eight months in 2015 and also have a high-value cluster for seven months in 2016. However, in 2017 Padungan Police Station sector boundary was identified as a high-value cluster for four months. The hot spots of property crime in Kuching, Sarawak change over time and places. This study found that holidays and festivals are exogenous factors that can influence the increases of property crime rate in Kuching, Sarawak. The findings of this study can help police to predict temporal crime trends accurately which would be beneficial for management planning.
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