人工神经网络在油田产量预测中的应用

Chang-jun Zhu, Xiujuan Zhao
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引用次数: 4

摘要

针对受多变量影响的油田产量难以预测的问题,由于传统的统计方法和静态模型不能满足非线性不确定系统的精度要求,建立了BP神经网络模型对油田产量进行预测。有效深度、渗透率、孔隙度和含水率作为神经网络的输入,油田产量作为神经网络的输出。结果表明,该预测方法非常有效,具有较高的预测精度。结果表明,该模型预测油田产量的精度可与其他经典方法相媲美。因此,BP神经网络是预测油田产量的有效方法,具有较高的精度。该方法的应用为油田开发提供了可靠的数据,降低了开发风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application of Artificial Neural Network in the Prediction of Output in Oilfield
In view of the problem that it is difficult to predict the output in an oilfield which affected by multiple variables, a back propagation (BP) neural network model is built to predict the output in oilfield because the classic statistical method and static model can not meet the demand of precision for the nonlinear and uncertain system. Effective depth, permeability, porosity and water content are used as the input of neural network and oilfield output as the output of the neural network. The results show that this prediction approach is very effective and has higher accuracy. The results show that the model can forecast the oilfield output with accuracy comparable to other classic methods. So the BP neural network is an effective method to predict the oilfield output with high accuracy. The application of this approach can supply reliable data for the development of oilfield and decrease the risks for the exploitation.
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